The Annie nominations were announced earlier today. The Annies honor the best in animation and, this year, a lot of attention is being paid to them because the race for Best Animated Feature seems to be wide open. It’s easy to imagine either Toy Story 4 or Frozen II winning the Oscar but it’s also just as easy to imagine a dark horse like Missing Link or maybe Klaus sneaking away with the award.
I’ve seen all of these except for Klaus, which I’ll be watching this sometime this week. Still, if I was guessing, I’d say that these five films will probably also be the eventual nominees for Best Animated Film. As of right now, I’d go with Toy Story 4 for the win but, again, I haven’t watched Klaus yet.
The Hollywood Critics Association was, up until a few days ago, known as the Los Angeles Online Film Critics Society. Perhaps realizing that HCA just plans looks better than LAOFCS, they announced yesterday that they were changing their name.
They also announced their nominees for the best of films and performances of 2019! While the HCA may not be one of the major precursors of awards season, their nominations do give a fairly good picture of which films and performances are currently being touted as possible Oscar nominees.
And here they are:
BEST PICTURE
“1917”
“Booksmart”
“The Farewell”
“The Irishman”
“Joker”
“Jojo Rabbit”
“Parasite”
“Marriage Story”
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
“Waves
BEST ACTOR
Adam Driver, “Marriage Story”
Eddie Murphy, “Dolemite Is My Name”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Joker”
Leonardo DiCaprio, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
“Taron Egerton, “Rocketman”
BEST ACTRESS
Awkwafina, “The Farewell”
“Charlize Theron, “Bombshell”
Lupita Nyong’o, “Us”
Renée Zellweger, “Judy”
Scarlett Johansson, “Marriage Story”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Brad Pitt, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Joe Pesci, “The Irishman”
Shia LaBeouf, “Honey Boy”
Sterling K. Brown, “Waves”
Tom Hanks, “A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Lopez, “Hustlers”
Laura Dern, “Marriage Story”
Margot Robbie, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Taylor Russell, “Waves”
Zhao Shuzhen, “The Farewell”
BEST MALE DIRECTOR
Bong Joon-ho, “Parasite”
Martin Scorsese, “The Irishman”
Noah Baumbach, “Marriage Story”
Quentin Tarantino, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Taika Waititi, “Jojo Rabbit”
BEST FEMALE DIRECTOR
Alma Har’el, “Honey Boy”
Greta Gerwig, “Little Women”
Lorene Scafaria, “Hustlers”
Lulu Wang, “The Farewell”
Olivia Wilde, “Booksmart”
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Bong Joon-ho & Han Jin-won, “Parasite”
Emily Halpern, Sarah Haskins, Susanna Fogel, & Katie Silberman, “Booksmart”
Lulu Wang, “The Farewell”
Noah Baumbach, “Marriage Story”
Rian Johnson, “Knives Out”
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Anthony McCarten, “The Two Popes”
Lorene Scafaria, “Hustlers”
Scott Silver and Todd Phillips, “Joker”
Steven Zailian, “The Irishman”
Taika Waititi, “Jojo Rabbit”
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR OR ACTRESS 23 AND UNDER
Kaitlyn Dever, “Booksmart”
Julia Butters, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Noah Jupe, “Honey Boy”
Roman Griffin Davis, “Jojo Rabbit”
Thomasin McKenzie, “Jojo Rabbit”
BREAKTHROUGH PERFORMANCE
Jessie Buckley, “Wild Rose”
Kelvin Harrison Jr., “Waves”
Paul Walter Hauser, “Richard Jewell”
Taylor Russell, “Waves”
Zack Gottsagen, “The Peanut Butter Falcon”
BEST CAST
“Avengers: Endgame”
“The Irishman”
“Knives Out”
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
“Waves”
BEST FIRST FEATURE
“Brittany Runs a Marathon”
“Booksmart”
“Honey Boy”
“The Peanut Butter Falcon”
“Queen & Slim”
BEST INDEPENDENT FILM
“Booksmart”
“The Farewell”
“Honey Boy”
“Luce”
“Waves”
BEST ACTION/WAR FILM
“1917”
“Avengers: Endgame”
“Captain Marvel”
“Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw”
“John Wick: Chapter 3 — Parabellum”
BEST ANIMATED FILM
“Abominable”
“Frozen II”
“How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World”
“Missing Link”
“Toy Story 4”
BEST BLOCKBUSTER
“Avengers: Endgame”
“Captain Marvel”
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
“Shazam!”
“Spider-Man: Far from Home”
BEST COMEDY/MUSICAL
“Booksmart”
“Blinded by the Light”
Dolemite Is My Name”
“Long Shot”
“Rocketman”
BEST DOCUMENTARY
“American Factory”
“Apollo 11”
“Hail Satan?”
“The Kingmaker”
“Love, Antosha”
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
“The Farewell”
“Monos”
“Pain & Glory”
“Parasite”
“Portrait of a Lady on Fire”
BEST HORROR FILM
“Crawl”
“Doctor Sleep”
“Midsommar”
“Ready or Not”
“Us”
BEST ANIMATED OR VFX PERFORMANCE
Josh Brolin, “Avengers: Endgame”
Robert De Niro, “The Irishman”
Rosa Salazar, “Alita: Battle Angel”
Ryan Reynolds, “Detective Pikachu”
Tom Hanks, “Toy Story 4”
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Drew Daniel, “Waves”
Jarin Blaschke, “The Lighthouse”
Lawrence Sher, “Joker”
Robert Richardson, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Roger Deakins, “1917”
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Arianne Phillips, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Julian Day, “Rocketman”
Jacqueline Durran, “Little Women”
Ruth E. Carter, “Dolemite Is My Name”
Mark Bridges, “Joker”
BEST EDITING
Fred Raskin, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Lee Smith, “1917”
Michael McCusker, “Ford v Ferrari”
Thelma Schoonmaker, ‘The Irishman”
Yang Jin-mo, “Parasite”
BEST HAIR AND MAKEUP
“Bombshell”
“Joker”
“Judy”
“Rocketman”
“The Irishman”
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Catchy Song” from “The Lego Movie: The Second Part”
Here are the 2019 Indie Spirit Award nominations! These nominations are meant to honor the best independent films of 2019 and their announcement marks the official beginning of awards season (at least as far as this sight is concerned!) I hate to say it but I still need to see quite a few of the films nominated below so, for now, I’ll hold off on any editorial commentary.
For those looking for some sort of evidence of how the Oscar nominations can go, the Independent Spirit Awards can be an iffy precursor, just because several of the expensive, major studio contenders aren’t eligible to nominated. (For instance, neither The Irishman nor Once Upon A Time In Hollywood were eligible.) That said, for the record, the two biggest Spirit nominees are The Lighthouse and Uncut Gems. Waves and The Farewell, which have been the center of considerable Oscar speculation, did not do as strongly in the nominations as many people apparently expected. Make of that what you will!
Here are the nominees!
Best Supporting Female
Jennifer Lopez – HUSTLERS
Taylor Russell – WAVES
Zhao Shuzhen – THE FAREWELL
Lauren “Lolo” Spencer – GIVE ME LIBERTY
Octavia Spencer – LUCE
Best Supporting Male
Willem Dafoe – THE LIGHTHOUSE
Noah Jupe – HONEY BOY
Shia Labeouf – HONEY BOY
Jonathan Majors – THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO
Wendell Pierce – BURNING CANE
Best Screenplay
Noah Baumbach – MARRIAGE STORY
Jason Begue, Shawn Snyder – TO DUST
Ronald Bronstein, Benny Safdie, Josh Safdie – UNCUT GEMS
Chinonye Chukwu – CLEMENCY
Tarell Alvin Mccraney – HIGH FLYING BIRD
Best First Screenplay
Fredrica Bailey, Stefon Bristol – SEE YOU YESTERDAY
Hannah Bos, Paul Thureen – DRIVEWAYS
Bridget Savage Cole, Danielle Krudy – BLOW THE MAN DOWN
Jocelyn Deboer, Dawn Luebbe – GREENER GRASS
James Montague, Craig W. Sanger – THE VAST OF NIGHT
Best Cinematography
Todd Banhazl – HUSTLERS
Jarin Blaschke – THE LIGHTHOUSE
Natasha Braier – HONEY BOY
Chananun Chotrungroj – THE THIRD WIFE
Pawel Pogorzelski – MIDSOMMAR
Best Editing
Julie Béziau – THE THIRD WIFE
Ronald Bronstein, Benny Safdie – UNCUT GEMS
Tyler L. Cook – SWORD OF TRUST
Louise Ford – THE LIGHTHOUSE
Kirill Mikhanovsky – GIVE ME LIBERTY
Best International Film
INVISIBLE LIFE, Brazil
LES MISERABLES, France
PARASITE, South Korea
PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE, France
RETABLO, Peru
THE SOUVENIR, United Kingdom
Best Documentary (Award given to the director and producer)
AMERICAN FACTORY
APOLLO 11
FOR SAMA
HONEYLAND
ISLAND OF THE HUNGRY GHOSTS
The John Cassavetes Award is presented to the best feature made for under $500,000 and is given to the writer, director, and producer. 2020 #SpiritAwards Nominees are:
BURNING CANE
COLEWELL
GIVE ME LIBERTY
PREMATURE
WILD NIGHTS WITH EMILY
Best Female Lead
Karen Allen – COLEWELL
Hong Chau – DRIVEWAYS
Elisabeth Moss – HER SMELL
Mary Kay Place – DIANE
Alfre Woodard – CLEMENCY
Renée Zellweger – JUDY
Best Male Lead
Chris Galust – GIVE ME LIBERTY
Kelvin Harrison Jr., – LUCE
Robert Pattinson – THE LIGHTHOUSE
Adam Sandler – UNCUT GEMS
Matthias Schoenaerts – THE MUSTANG
Best First Feature (Award given to the director and producer)
BOOKSMART
THE CLIMB
DIANE
THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO
THE MUSTANG
SEE YOU YESTERDAY
Best Feature [award given to the producer(s)]
A HIDDEN LIFE
CLEMENCY
THE FAREWELL
MARRIAGE STORY
UNCUT GEMS
Best Director
Robert Eggers – THE LIGHTHOUSE
Alma Har’el – HONEY BOY
Julius Onah – LUCE
Benny Safdie, Josh Safdie – UNCUT GEMS
Lorene Scafaria – HUSTLERS
The Robert Altman Award is given to the ensemble cast, director & casting director of one film: MARRIAGE STORY – Noah Baumbach, Douglas Aibel, Francine Maisler, Alan Alda, Laura Dern, Adam Driver, Julie Hagerty, Scarlett Johansson, Ray Liotta, Azhy Robertson, Merritt Wever
The Truer Than Fiction Award, in its 25th year, is for emerging directors of non-fiction features and includes an unrestricted grant. Finalists: Khalik Allah – BLACK MOTHER Davy Rothbart – 17 BLOCKS Nadia Shihab – JADDOLAND Erick Stoll & Chase Whiteside – AMÉRICA
The Producers Award, now in its 23rd year, honors emerging producers who demonstrate creativity, tenacity and vision, despite highly limited resources. The award includes an unrestricted grant. These are the finalists: Mollye Asher Krista Parris Ryan Zacarias
The Someone To Watch Award, in its 26th year, recognizes a talented filmmaker of singular vision and includes an unrestricted grant. The finalists are: Rashaad Ernesto Green – PREMATURE Ash Mayfair – THE THIRD WIFE Joe Talbot – THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO
The Bonnie Award will recognize a mid-career female director with a $50,000 unrestricted grant. The 2020 Film Independent #SpiritAwards Bonnie Award finalists are: MarielleHeller KellyReichardt LuluWang
Despite making some inroads as of late, horror films still never quite get the respect that they deserve when it comes Oscar time. That’s especially true of the performers who regularly appear in horror films. If it’s rare for a horror movie to receive a best picture nomination, it’s even rarer for someone to get nominated for appearing in one of them.
And yet, it takes as much skill to make a monster compelling as it does a historical figure or a literary character. In fact, it may take even more skill. After all, everyone knows that Queen Elizabeth I actually ruled over England and that Atticus Finch was an attorney in the South. However, everyone also knows that there’s no such things as vampires and that the dead cannot be reanimated or raised as a zombie. It takes a lot of skill to make a monster seem human.
With that in mind, here are 6 horror performances that deserved, at the very least, an Oscar nomination:
1. Boris Karloff as The Monster in Frankenstein (1931) and The Bride of Frankenstein(1935)
The great Boris Karloff is perhaps the most egregious example of a deserving actor who was consistently ignored by the Academy because of the type of films in which he appeared. In the role of Monster, Karloff was never less than brilliant and he set the standard by which all future monsters are judged.
Dracula (1931, directed by Tod Browning)
2. Bela Lugosi in Dracula (1931)
When viewed today, it’s perhaps a little bit too easy to be dismissive of Lugosi’s grandly theatrical interpretation of Dracula. But, if you can ignore all of the bad imitations that you’ve seen and heard over the years, you’ll discover that Lugosi’s performance is perfect for the film in which he’s appearing. Indeed, Lugosi’s best moments are the silent ones, when he goes from being a courtly (if vaguely sinister) nobleman to a hungry animal. In those moments, you see why Lugosi’s performance endures.
3. Anthony Perkins as Norman Bates in Psycho (1960)
Ah, poor Anthony Perkins. Before he played Norman Bates, he was considered to be something an up-and-coming star and even something of a neurotic romantic lead. As with Lugosi’s Dracula, we’ve seen so many bad imitations of Perkins’s performance that it’s easy to overlook just how good he is in the role. He was so perfect as Norman that spent the rest of his career typecast. And, sadly enough, he didn’t even get a much-deserved Oscar nomination out of it.
4. Christopher Lee as Lord Summerisle in The Wicker Man (1973)
Christopher Lee was one of the great actors and, though he may be best remembered for his horror work, he actually appeared in almost every genre of film imaginable. Lee was often dismissive of the Dracula films that he made for Hammer so, as much as I’d love to argue that he deserved a nomination for The Horror of Dracula, I’m instead going to suggest that Lee deserved one for the role that he often cited as his favorite, the pagan Lord Summerisle in The Wicker Man. Lee brings the perfect mix of wit and menace to the role and, in the process, shows that not all monsters have to be undead.
5. Donald Pleasence as Dr. Sam Loomis in Halloween (1978) and Halloween II (1981)
Much as with Lugosi and Anthony Perkins, it’s important (and perhaps a little bit difficult) to separate Pleasence’s performances in these two slasher films with all of the imitations that have followed. In both films, Pleasence does a great job of playing a man who has been driven to the verge of madness as a result of having spent too much time in the presence of evil. As potentially dangerous as Sam Loomis sometimes appears to be, there’s no way not to sympathize with him as he continually tries to get people to understand that he wasn’t the one who left Michael escape. If nothing else, Pleasence deserved a nomination just for his delivery of the line, “As a matter of fact, it was.”
6. Betsy Palmer as Pamela Voorhees in Friday the 13th (1980)
Well, the Oscar season is finally here and it looks like the competition is going to be fierce! It seems like every day, a new contender is being crowned at yet another festival. Below, you’ll find my predictions for October but, honestly, it’s still difficult to narrow down all of the possible contenders to just 10 films, 5 directors, and 20 actors.
1973’s The Exorcistis often cited as the first horror film to ever be nominated for best picture and technically, I guess that’s correct. It was definitely the first best picture nominee to ever deal with a battle between humans and a malevolent supernatural force and no one can deny that The Exorcist has influenced a countless number of horror films.
That said, I think you could make the argument that Deliverance, which was nominated for best picture the year before The Exorcist, was in its own way, a horror film. Certainly, every crazed hick slasher film that has come out since 1972 owes a debt to Deliverance. Deliverance‘s ending has been imitated by so many other horror films that it’s become a bit of cliche. Though there might not be any supernatural creatures in Deliverance, the film still features its own set of horrifying monsters. The toothless redneck rapists (played by character actor Bill McKinney and rodeo performer Herbert “Cowboy” Coward) seem as if they’ve jumped straight out of a nightmare and into the movie. Of course, they aren’t the only monsters in this film. There’s also the (fictional) Cahulawassee River, which is due to be dammed up and seems to be determined to take out its anger on anyone foolish enough to try to navigate it.
Much as with The Texas Chainsaw Massacre(which came out just two years after Deliverance), the main theme here seem to be that you should be careful about going off the main road. Just as the unfortunate hippies and college students in Texas Chainsaw Massacre proved to be no match for a clan of backwoods cannibal, the four middle-aged men at the center of Deliverance discover that they’re no match for either nature or its inhabitants. At the start of the film, we watch as three of the men deal with the locals in a condescending and rather smirky manner. Only one of them actually tries to be nice to the locals, engaging in a banjo duel with a young boy who clearly loves his banjo but who still refuses to smile or shake hands. The boy knows what the men are getting themselves into them. The boy knows what awaits them.
If you grew up in the South, as I did, you’ll recognize all four of the men. It’s not just that they’re played by recognizable actors. It’s that each one of them is a common archetype of the type of men you find down here.
For instance, there’s Lewis (Burt Reynolds), the self-styled alpha male with his leather vest and his bow-and-arrow and his constant talk about how society is eventually going to collapse and only the strong are going to survive. You know that Lewis is full of it from the minute you see him but he’s so charismatic that you can also understand why the other three men have fallen under his control.
And then there’s Bobby (Ned Beatty). Bobby is quick to laugh and quick to talk and quick to make a bad joke. When he says that he’s a salesman, you’re not surprised. From the start of the film, Lewis complains that Bobby isn’t strong enough or serious enough and, when the mountain men attack, Bobby is the one they target. And yet, towards the end of the film, Bobby is the one who sells the hastily concocted story about what happened on the river.
Drew (Ronny Cox) is the nicest of the men. With his glasses and his guitar and his rather touching belief that everything will be okay if everyone just tells the truth, Drew’s the prototype of the Southern liberal. One can imagine him teaching in a community college and vainly trying to convince his relatives that segregation and nostalgia for the Confederacy is holding the South back.
And finally, there’s Ed (Jon Voight). Ed smokes a pipe and it’s obvious that he’s someone who has a very secure life. Ed is the one who is everyone’s friend. He’s the one who sticks up for Bobby. He’s the one who reminds Drew to wear his life jacket. He’s the only one who can get away with (gently) mocking Lewis. Ed seems like a nice guy but, at the start of the film, there’s a strange emptiness to Ed. You get the feeling that the reason Ed is friends with everyone is because he doesn’t have any firm beliefs. Instead, he just adapts to each situation and says whatever everyone wants to hear. You can’t help but wonder what Ed believes. By the end of the movie, of course, both Ed and the viewer have learned what Ed is capable of doing.
Cox, Voight, and especially poor Ned Beatty are all perfectly cast in their roles. Burt Reynolds reportedly felt that this film was his best performance and he was probably right. Director John Boorman captures both the beauty and the menace of nature, leaving you both in awe of the the river and fearful of what it can do those foolish enough to try to conquer it. Interestingly enough, while Boorman was directing Deliverance, he was offered The Exorcist. He turned it down, feeling that the script was too exploitive of the possessed child. Boorman would, however, direct The Exorcist II: The Heretic (co-starring Deliverance‘s Ned Beatty).
(At the same time, Jon Voight was offered the role of Father Karras in The Exorcist but, like Boorman, turned the film down so he could work on Deliverance.)
While the film is best known for its sequences on the river, one should not overlook the haunting scenes of the survivors once they make their way back to civilization. After having spent the previous 80 minutes or so presenting everyone in the backwoods as a threat, the final third of Deliverance actually emphasizes the decency of the townspeople. When one of the men breaks down and starts to cry in the middle of dinner, everyone is quietly respectful of his emotions. Towards the end of the film, as the survivors are driven out of town, they find themselves stuck behind the old country church, which is being moved upriver. “Just got to wait for the church to get out of the way,” their driver says while the church’s bell mournfully rings for both the death of the town and the death of innocence.
(Of course, even with all the kind townspeople around, there’s still a somewhat menacing sheriff. It’s just not a Southern film without a scary sheriff, is it? “Don’t you boys ever do nothing like this again,” he says at one point. The sheriff is played by James Dickey, the author of both the novel and the screenplay on which the film is based.)
Deliverance was nominated for three academy awards. In the directing and the editing categories, it lost to Cabaret. For best picture, it lost to The Godfather. Deliverance, The Godfather, and Cabaret, all competing against each other? 1972 was a very good year.
With the help of the festivals, the Oscar picture became a bit clearer this month. Perhaps the biggest news is that the initial response to Harriet, which many people expected to be this year’s front runner, was decidedly lukewarm. The other big news? The Irishman, according to those who have seen it, may be Scorsese’s best yet.
Below, you’ll find my Oscar predictions for September. If you want to see how my thinking has evolved over the course of this year, be sure to check out my predictions for January, February, March, April, May, June, July, and August!
Now, admittedly, there’s still an element of wishful thinking in some of the predictions below. For instance, it would be an interesting narrative development if Adam Sandler and Eddie Murphy were both nominated for best actor. That doesn’t mean that it’s going to happen but both of them have received a lot of early acclaim for their yet-to-be released films this year. They’re contenders, even if their reputations may make them long shots. What’s the point of making predictions if you can’t have a little fun?
Joker is going to get big Oscar punch. I do think it’s going to probably be a bit too controversial to pick up a Best Picture nomination but I’m still going to go ahead and put down Joaquin Phoenix as a best actor nominee.
Bombshell is the new title of Jay Roach’s Fox News film. To me, it doesn’t sound like it’s going to be that good and, quite frankly, Jay Roach’s films usually prove that just being obsessed with politics doesn’t necessarily mean that you have anything interesting to say about the topic. That said, if Vice (a film that even leftist film critics criticized as being heavy handed and cartoonish) could pick up a best picture nomination last year, then I’m going to assume Bombshell could do the same. With both the presidential election and possible impeachment trial looming, it’s reasonable assume that certain Academy members will be even more obsessed with politics than usual.
Meryl Streep for The Laundromat? Why not? They’ll nominate Meryl for anything, regardless of how bad the movie is.
Here are the predictions for this month!
Best Picture
1917
Bombshell
The Farewell
A Hidden Life
The Irishman
JoJo Rabbit
Marriage Story
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
Parasite
Waves
Best Director
Bong Joon-ho for Parasite
Terrence Malick for A Hidden Life
Martin Scorsese for The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino for Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
Taika Waititi for JoJo Rabbit
Best Actor
Antonio Banderas in Pain & Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio in Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
It’s time for me to share my early Oscar predictions! With the Telluride and Venice Film Festivals currently underway, the Oscar picture does seem to be a little bit less murky. But then again, we should remember that appearances can be deceiving. Last year, at this time, most people were still expecting a First Man vs. Beale Street vs. A Star is Born Oscar race.
These predictions below take into account the reports that have been coming back from Telluride and Venice. If you want to see how my thinking has evolved over the year, be sure to check out my predictions from January, February, March, April, May, June, and July!
And now, for what their worth, here are my predictions for August:
Best Picture
1917
A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood
The Farewell
Ford v Ferrari
Harriet
A Hidden Life
The Irishman
Little Women
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
Waves
Best Director
Kasi Lemmons for Harriet
Terrence Malick for A HIdden Life
Sam Mendes for 1917
Trey Edward Shults for Waves
Martin Scorsese for The Irishman
Best Actor
Antonio Banderas in Pain & Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio in Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
It’s time for me to present my predictions for who and what will be nominated for the Academy Awards next January! Now that we’re nearly done with the summer, the Oscar picture is becoming a bit more clear. For instance, I do think that Once Upon A Time In Hollywood is going to be a player, if just because it’s about actors and the Actors Branch is the biggest voting bloc in the Academy. (How do you think Birdman and Argo managed to win?) And the trailer for The Irishman makes it look like the type of Scorsese film that often gets nominated.
Still, it’s too early to say anything for sure. Last year, for instance, Green Book didn’t really become a player until fairly late in the season. In fact, at this time last year, everyone still thought A Star Is Born was going to win everything.
So, with all that in mind, here are my predictions for July. Be sure to also check out my predictions for January, February, March, April, May, and June!
Best Picture
1917
The Aeronauts
A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood
Fair and Balanced
Harriet
The Irishman
JoJo Rabbit
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
Pain & Glory
The Peanut Butter Falcon
Best Director
Pedro Almodovar for Pain & Glory
Kasi Lemmons for Harriet
Sam Mendes for 1917
Martin Scorsese for The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino for Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
Best Actor
Antonio Banderas in Pain & Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio in Once Upon A Time In Hollywood