The big news this month is that Respect will no longer be getting released in January. It’s been moved back so drop it from your Oscar predictions.
Here are my current predictions. Take them with grain of salt and all the rest. The more and more I think about it, the more annoyed I am with the Academy extending the eligibility window. With all of the biggest contenders delaying their opening for a year, that extension seems more and more silly.
To be honest, I’m starting to have my doubts whether the film industry, as we know it, will even exist in another year or so. I think eventually, we’ll just have a propaganda industry with the government subsidizing Hollywood on the condition that Hollywood only make certain types of films. It’s going to suck. The worst part is that most of the people who should speak out against that sort of thing won’t. So many critics have down the partisan rabbit hole that they’re now more concerned with keeping the politicians happy than with actually writing about movies.
After looking at these, please check out my predictions for January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, and September!
Best Picture
Da 5 Bloods
The Father
Hillbilly Elegy
Mank
Minari
News of the World
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
On the Rocks
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Director
David Fincher for Mank
Ron Howard for Hillbilly Elegy
Regina King for One Night in Miami
Spike Lee for Da 5 Bloods
Chloe Zhao for Nomadland
Best Actor
Tom Hanks in News of the World
Anthony Hopkins in The Father
Delroy Lindo in Da 5 Bloods
Gary Oldman in Mank
Steven Yeun in Minari
Best Actress
Amy Adams in Hillbilly Elegy
Viola Davis in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Vanessa Kirby in Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand in Nomadland
Kate Winslet in Ammonite
Best Supporting Actor
Sacha Baron Cohen in The Trial of the Chicago 7
Chadwick Boseman in Da 5 Bloods
Bill Murray in On The Rocks
Leslie Odom Jr. in One Night In Miami
David Strathairn in Nomandland
Best Supporting Actress
Glenn Close in Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman in The Father
Saoirse Ronan in Ammonite
Amanda Seyfried in Mank
Helena Zengel in News of the World