With each passing month, the Oscar race becomes just a little bit clearer. We are still a few months away from the true Oscar season but a few contenders have emerged.
My predictions are below. Previously, my predictions were all based on wishful thinking and instinct. Well, there’s still a lot of wishful thinking to be found below but, at the same time, the festival season is providing a guide and there are some early reviews that have started to come in. I’ve never been a 100% correct in my predictions and I doubt this year is going to be any different. (For one thing, I always predict 10 best picture nominees, even though that’s close to being a mathematical impossibility under the current Academy rules.)
One final note: Some day, the Academy will get over their resistance to Netflix and streaming. I don’t think that’s going to happen this year, though. I kept that in mind while considering the chances of such heavily hyped (and, for that matter, less heavily hyped) contenders as Mudbound and The Meyerowitz Stories.
Anyway, here are my predictions for July! Be sure to check out my predictions for January, February, March, April, May, and June as well!
Best Picture
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Detroit
The Disaster Artist
Dunkirk
The Florida Project
Goodbye Christopher Robin
The Greatest Showman
Logan
Wonderstruck
Best Director
Sean Baker for The Florida Project
Kathryn Bigelow for Detroit
Michael Gracey for The Greatest Showman
Christopher Nolan for Dunkirk
Joe Wright for Darkest Hour
Best Actor
Chadwick Boseman in Marshall
Willem DaFoe in The Florida Project
Hugh Jackman in The Greatest Showman
Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour
Donald Sutherland in The Leisure Seeker
Best Actress
Judi Dench in Victoria and Abdul
Kirsten Dunst in Woodshock
Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing Missouri
Emma Stone in Battle of the Sexes
Meryl Streep in The Papers
Best Supporting Actor
Steve Carell in Battle of the Sexes
James Franco in The Disaster Artist
Armie Hammer in Call Me By Your Name
Will Poulter in Detroit
Patrick Stewart in Logan
Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz in Murder on the Orient Express
Holly Hunter in The Big Sick
Melissa Leo in The Novitiate
Julianne Moore in Wonderstuck
Margot Robbie in Goodbye Christopher Robin
Through the Shattered Lens 