It’s time for me to post my monthly Oscar predictions! With Oscar season finally getting started, things are starting to become a lot more clearer. At the same time, especially when compared to the previous few years, it’s hard not to feel as if there’s a lot more uncertainty than usual.
For months, people were convinced that The Post was going to be the big Oscar contender but rumor has it that the film’s a bit of a mess. I can’t say that I’m surprised. Tom Hanks, Meryl Streep, and Steven Spielberg teaming up for a celebration of the press? That sounds like exactly the type of project that will bring out everyone’s worst, most mawkish instincts.
With the downfall of Hollywood power players and monsters like Harvey Weinstein, the Oscar outlook becomes even more hazy. If ever there’s been a year for the Academy to make a statement, this would be it. But will they have the courage? On the one hand, the Academy has made an attempt to broaden their membership and to bring in new voices and perspectives. On the other hand, Oscar host Jimmy Kimmel has already said he won’t be mentioning anything about Weinstein (or, I assume, James Toback or Kevin Spacey) during next year’s ceremony. Is the Academy going to make a statement or are they just going to try to pretend like nothing’s happened?
Could next year be the year that the Oscars embrace genre films? Some of the biggest disappointments of the year have been the movies that would typically contend for Oscars. Meanwhile, some of the most acclaimed films of the year — Get Out, It, Wonder Woman, Logan, — are all so-called genre films.
For my predictions below, I’ve decided to live in a world where the Academy embraces genre films. These predictions may be totally off but screw it. It’s the night before Halloween and I’m going to have fun. Besides, I can make a case for every single prediction found below.
Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Guillermo Del Toro for The Shape of Water
Martin McDonagh for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Christopher Nolan for Dunkirk
Jordan Peele for Get Out
Joe Wright for Darkest Hour
James Franco in The Disaster Artist
Andrew Garfield in Breathe
Jake Gyllenhaal in Stronger
Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour
Harry Dean Stanton in Lucky
Gal Gadot in Wonder Woman
Sally Hawkins in The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie in I, Tonya
Emma Stone in Battle of the Sexes
Best Supporting Actor
Willem DaFoe in The Forida Project
Armie Hammer in Call Me By Your Name
Sam Rockwell in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Adam Sander in The Meyerowitz Stories
Patrick Stewart in Logan
Best Supporting Actress
Mary J. Blige in Mudbound
Allison Janney in I, Tonya
Melissa Leo in Novitiate
Laurie Metcalf in Lady Bird
Kristin Scott Thomas in Darkest Hour