It’s that time of the month again!
It’s time for me to once again try to predict what will be nominated for the Oscars. If you had to told me, at this time last year, that Top Gun: Maverick would emerge as an Oscar contender, I would have said that you were crazy but here we are. Admittedly, it is early in the year and I think there’s always going to be some ambivalence towards honoring Tom Cruise. (You just know that someone is having nightmares about him thanking David Miscavige in his Oscar speech.) But with the reviews and the box office success that Top Gun: Maverick is getting, it would be a mistake to dismiss it. After all, Mad Max: Fury Road came out around this same time of year in 2015. As well, one can be sure that A24 will be giving Everything Everywhere All At Once a heavy awards push as well. This could very well be the year of the genre blockbuster as far as the Oscars are concerned.
As for Cannes, it’s come and gone. George Miller’s Three Thousand Years of Longing got some good reviews, even if those reviews didn’t translate into awards at the end of the Festival. David Cronenberg’s Crimes of the Future sounds like it’s going to be too divisive for the Academy and really, the thought of Cronenberg winning an Oscar has always been a bit implausible, regardless of how much he may or may not deserve one. As for James Gray’s Armageddon Time, Gray has always been more popular with critics than with audiences or Academy voters. If Gray couldn’t break through with something like The Lost City of Z, I doubt he’s going to do so with an autobiographical film about his life in private school. Steven Spielberg already has the autobiography slot wrapped up with The Fabelmans.
Of course, there’s still many films left to see and many more film festivals to be held. Let us not forget that Martin Scorsese is bringing us Killers of the Flower Moon. Personally, I’m looking forward to Damien Chazelle’s Babylon. In short, nothing has been settled yet. For all the acclaim that Top Gun and Everything are getting, who knows how the race is going to look at the start of the Fall season?
Anyway, here are my predictions for May. Be sure to check out my predictions for February and March and April as well!
Everything Everywhere All at Once
I Want To Dance With Somebody
Killers of the Flower Moon
Next Goal Wins
Top Gun: Maverick
Damien Chazelle for Babylon
Kasi Lemmons for I Want To Dance With Somebody
Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon
Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans
Taika Waititi for Next Goal Wins
Tom Cruise in Top Gun: Maverick
Colman Domingo in Rustin
Idris Elba in Three Thousand Years of Longing
Brendan Fraser in The Whale
Brad Pitt in Babylon
Naomi Ackie in I Want To Dance With Somebody
Cate Blanchett in Tar
Margot Robie in Babylon
Tilda Swinton in Three Thousand Years of Longing
Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Supporting Actor
John Boyega in The Woman King
Leonardo DiCaprio in Flowers of the Killer Moon
Tom Hanks in Elvis
David Lynch in The Fabelmans
Tobey Maguire in Babylon
Best Supporting Actress
Jessie Buckley in Women Talking
Tantoo Cardinal in Flowers of the Killer Moon
Li Jun Li in Babylon
Samantha Morton in She Said
Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans