Now that the awards for last year’s films have been given out and everyone has already started to forget who won, we can start to concentrate on the next batch of Oscar contenders….
Oh, stop yelling. It’s not that early!
Well, actually, it is way too early. I mean, we’re still not really sure what is even going to be released this year. Due to all the COVID delays, we went into 2021 knowing which films we could look forward to, mostly because all of those films were originally supposed to be released in 2020. Compared to 2021, we’re going into 2022 blind. The majority of the films that we do know about don’t really sound like Oscar contenders, either.
So, really, the only solution to how to predict the Oscar nominees when you know nothing is to guess. The films and actors listed below are not there because I have any inside information. Instead, they are there as a result of some wishful thinking and some educated guesses. Killers of the Flower Moon was directed by Martin Scorsese, so of course it’s there. The Fabelmans is there because a lot of people feel that the Academy didn’t show Spielberg and West Side Story enough love this year and I think the fact that the film is autobiographical will make it irresistible to same voters who nominated Belfast. Napoleon is there because there might be some lingering guilt over how both Ridley Scott and The Last Duel were utterly ignored this year. Rustin is there because it’s an Obama production and Hollywood loves the Obamas. Chris Rock is listed as a supporting actor nominee because it would be the perfect conclusion to the saga of the Oscar Slap. David Lynch is listed because …. well, I like David Lynch. Personally, it’s doubtful that Tom Hanks will be able to pull off two nominations in one year but if anyone could do it, it’s Tom!
In other words, don’t take any of these predictions too seriously. As of now, there are no definite contenders. These are just some guesses.
Be sure to check out my even more random predictions for February as well!
Best Picture
Babylon
The Fabelmans
Killers of the Flower Moon
Napoleon
Rustin
She Said
TAR
Thirteen Lives
Till
The Woman King
Best Director
Damien Chazelle for Babylon
Chinonye Chukwu for Till
Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon
Ridley Scott for Napoleon
Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans
Best Actor
Colman Domingo in Rustin
Brendan Fraser in The Whale
Tom Hanks in A Man Called Otto
Joaquin Phoenix in The Whale
Brad Pitt in Babylon
Best Actress
Naomi Ackie for I Wanna Dance With Somebody
Cate Blanchett in TAR
Viola Davis in The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler in Till
Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans
Best Supporting Actor
John Boyega in The Woman King
Leonardo DiCaprio in Killers of the Flower Moon
Tom Hanks in Elvis
David Lynch in The Fabelmans
Chris Rock in Rustin
Best Supporting Actress
Laura Dern in The Son
Sally Field in Spoiler Alert
Greta Gerwig in White Noise
Lily Gladstone in Killers of the Flower Moon
Li Jun Li in Babylon