Are we even going to have an Oscar ceremony next year?
Who knows? I hope we do because I think that it would provide some sort of normalcy. Even if everyone chooses not to watch it, at least they’ll have that choice. (People tend to forget how important, psychologically and emotionally, it is for people to have a choice. All of these cheery “We’re all in it together” commercials don’t mean shit if people are feeling imprisoned.) Up until this week, I was pretty confident that we would because COVID-19 was in decline and restrictions were being lifted and things seemed like they were heading in the right direction. (Or, at least, that’s the way it seemed in my part of the world. I know that some people disagreed with my assessment.) Now, we’re in the middle of nation-wide rioting and a divisive presidential election so who knows what’s going to happen with the rest of this year. Will theaters even want to risk reopening before 2021? Will they be able to? The Academy has said that streaming films will qualify this year but how many studios want to release all of their big productions VOD?
I’m going to continue to make my monthly Oscar predictions, though. My reasons are pretty selfish: making them helps to keep me centered. I’m a compulsive scheduler and keeping that schedule (which is really what I’m doing with these monthly predictions) helps me deal with my ADD.
So, with that in mind, here are my Oscar predictions. Take them with a grain of salt. And be sure to check out my previous predictions for January, February, March, and April!
Best Picture
Ammonite
The Father
Hillbilly Elegy
Minari
News of the World
Nomadland
Respect
Soul
The Trial of Chicago 7
West Side Story
Best Director
Paul Greengrass for News of the World
Ron Howard for Hillbilly Elegy
Francis Lee for Ammonite
Steven Spielberg for West Side Story
Chloe Zhao for Nomadland
Best Actor
Matt Damon in Stillwater
Tom Hanks in News of the World
Anthony Hopkins in The Father
Bill Murray in On The Rocks
Gary Oldman in Mank
Best Actress
Jennifer Hudson in Respect
Angelina Jolie in Those Who Wish Me Dead
Sofia Loren in The Life Ahead
Frances McDormand in Nomadland
Kate Winslet in Ammonite
Best Supporting Actor
David Alvarez in West Side Story
Tom Burke in Mank
Delroy Lindo in Da 5 Bloods
Forest Whitaker in Respect
Steven Yeun in Minari
Best Supporting Actress
Abigail Breslin in Stillwater
Glen Close in Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman in The Father
Saoirse Ronan in Ammonite
Helena Zengel in News of the World
That’s it for this month! Hopefully, next month will bring a bit more clarity.
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