I’ve been going back and forth on whether or not I should even bother to continue my monthly Oscar predictions. With the current Coronavirus pandemic, it’s not unreasonable to wonder if there will even be an Oscar ceremony next year. Many completed films have been taken off the schedule so that they can be released at a time when people aren’t scared to leave their house. Meanwhile, production on several other films — some of them expected to be Oscar contenders — has been suspended. New films are continuing to premiere on the streaming services but the Academy has always insisted that films also play in a theater if they want to contend for an Oscar. That’s going to be difficult with the majority of the country’s theaters currently being closed.
Unlike a lot of people, I’m not necessarily apocalyptic or even that pessimistic in my outlook. I think that, one way or another, we will eventually be able to leave our homes again and that at least some of the movie theaters will reopen. So, I think that we will be able to have some sort of Oscar ceremony. For that reason, I’m going to make my predictions for March but, needless to say, take all of these with an even bigger grain of salt than usual.
If you’re curious to see what my Oscar thinking was in the months before the world went crazy, check out my predictions for January and February!
(I’ve tried to take the fact that the Coronavirus led to the suspension of many ongoing productions while making out my list below. As far as I know, filming wrapped on all of the films listed below before the outbreak.)
Best Picture
Ammonite
Annette
Hillbilly Elegy
The Father
Minari
News of the World
Nomadland
On the Rocks
Tenet
West Side Story
Best Director
Isaac Lee Chung for Minari
Paul Greengrass for News of the World
Christopher Nolan for Tenet
Steven Spielberg for West Side Story
Florian Zeller for The Father
Best Actor
Tom Hanks in News of the World
Anthony Hopkins in The Father
Bill Murray in On the Rocks
Gary Oldman in Mank
Will Smith in King Richard
Best Actress
Amy Adams in Hillbilly Elegy
Clare Dunne in Herself
Jennifer Hudson in Respect
Frances McDormand in Nomadland
Kate Winslet in Ammonite
Best Supporting Actor
Tom Burke in Mank
Richard E. Grant in Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
Mark Rylance in The Trial of the Chicago 7
Forest Whitaker in Respect
Steve Yeun in Minari
Best Supporting Actress
Abigail Breslin in Stillwater
Glenn Close in Hillybilly Elegy
Vera Farmiga in The Many Saints of Newark
Saoirse Ronan in Ammonite
Helena Zengel in News of the World
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