Lisa’s Too Early Oscar Predictions For March


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It’s that time of month!  Here are my Oscar predictions from March.  As you can tell by comparing this month’s predictions to my predictions for January and February, I’ve learned a bit more about the films that will be coming out over the next few months and I’ve changed my mind on quite a few of the early contenders.

That said, at this time last year, no one had even heard of Moonlight.  At this point, almost all of these predictions are the result of wishful thinking, random guesses, and gut instinct.

Best Picture

Battles of the Sexes

Call Me By Your Name

Darkest Hour

Downsizing

Dunkirk

The Glass Castle

The Leisure Seeker

Logan

Mudbound

Wonderstruck

I went back and forth on whether or not to include Logan in my predictions.  On the one hand, I think it could be nominated.  On the other hand, regardless of how acclaimed it may be, it is also a comic book movie that came out in March.  In the end, since these predictions are mostly just for fun at this point, I decided to imagine a situation where — like Mad Max: Fury Road two years ago — the film’s box office carries it through the summer and it gets some needed support from the precursors in December.

(For the record, if I had decided not to include Logan, I would have replaced it with Blade Runner 2049.)

 

Best Director

James Mangold for Logan

Luca Guadagnino for Call Me By Your Name

Alexander Payne for Downsizing

Dee Rees for Mudbound

Joe Wright for Darkest Hour

If Logan were to get a best picture nomination, I imagine that James Mangold would get a nomination along with it.

 

Best Actor

Chadwick Boseman in Marshall

Tom Cruise in American Made

Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour

Miles Teller in Thank You For Your Service

Donald Sutherland in The Leisure Seeker

The two additions here are Teller and Sutherland.  Teller seems destined to be nominated some day, assuming that he spends more time making films like Whiplash and less time on stuff like Fantastic Four.  Despite a long and distinguished career, Sutherland has never been nominated.  In The Leisure Seeker, he plays a man suffering from Alzheimer’s.  It sounds like a role for which he could not only be nominated but for which he could also win.

 

Best Actress

Judi Dench in Victoria and Abdul

Brie Larson in The Glass Castle

Helen Mirren in The Leisure Seeker

Carey Mulligan in Mudbound

Emma Stone in Battle of the Sexes

The two new contenders here are Mirren and Larson.  Mirren always has to be considered to be a contender and Larson’s upcoming film, The Glass Castle, sounds like pure Oscar bait.

 

Best Supporting Actor

James Franco in The Masterpiece

Armie Hammer in Call Me By Your Name

Woody Harrelson in The Glass Castle

John Hurt in Darkest Hour

Patrick Stewart in Logan

Yes, I’m still predicting that James Franco will be nominated for playing Tommy Wiseau.  It may be wishful thinking on my part but so be it.  Every year, Armie Hammer seems to be on the verge of being nominated for something.  Harrelson is included as a part of The Glass Castle package.  Stewart is overdue for a nomination.  As for John Hurt, he was nominated but never won an Oscar during his lifetime.  Darkest Hour could provide the Academy with a chance to honor the man’s distinguished career, in much the same way that The Dark Knight allowed them to honor Heath Ledger.

 

Best Supporting Actress

Holly Hunter in The Big Sick

Melissa Leo in Novitiate

Julianne Moore in Wonderstruck

Kristin Scott Thomas in Darkest Hour

Naomi Watts in The Glass Castle

I don’t know much about Moore’s role in Wonderstruck but the film is directed by Todd Haynes, a filmmaker who previously directed Moore in her finest performance in Safe.

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Film Review: Logan (dir by James Mangold)


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Logan is the first great film of 2017.

It’s also one of the darkest.  The specter of death hangs over almost every scene and, when death does come, it doesn’t discriminate.  Good and likable people are just as likely to die as the film’s villains and, when they do die, it’s never a merciful passing.  There is some humor but it’s the type of humor that’s generated by being trapped in a hopeless situation.  This is one of those movies where, when you do laugh, it’s because the only other alternative is just to give up.

What’s the common complaint about comic book films?  That they only exist to sell more comic books and that they are often fatally compromised by the need to appeal to as many viewers as possible?  Well, that’s not a problem with Logan.  Logan is a film for grown ups.  During the film, when Logan (played, of course, by Hugh Jackman) comes across an X-Men comic book, he dismisses it as a fairy tale.  “In the real world,” he snaps, “people die!”

That’s not to say that Logan’s a hopeless film.  There is an optimistic streak to the film but it’s a cautious optimism.  Much like Mad Max: Fury Road, Logan suggests that the best thing that the world has left to offer is a chance for redemption.

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Now, I should point out that, while I enjoyed some of the previous films (particularly X-Men: First Class), I’m hardly an expert on the X-men franchise.  But, with Logan, that doesn’t matter.  Certainly, it helps to have seen some of the previous films.  There are a few references to X-Men: Apocalypse.  But, in the end, Logan works as a stand alone film.  Even if you’ve seen none of the previous X-men films, you’ll find yourselves getting swept up in the story of Logan, Professor Xavier (Patrick Stewart), Caliban (Stephen Merchant), and Laura (Dafne Keen).

The film opens in 2029.  There are only a few hints that we’re in the future: driverless truck rule the roads and, more disturbingly, it seems as if there’s fewer people around than before.  Watching the film, which is full of wide open spaces and desolate towns, one gets the feeling that something has happened that has wiped out a good deal of the population.  Almost all of the mutants are dead.  Logan (Hugh Jackman) lives across the border, in Mexico.  His only companion is the albino Caliban and Xavier.

However, this Xavier is far different from the one that we’ve seen in previous films.  Suffering from Alzheimer’s, Xavier is often confused as to where he is and, if he’s not properly medicated, he can’t control his psychic powers.  What’s left of Logan’s life is now dedicated to trying to keep the greatest mind in the world from destroying itself.

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Logan has also changed.  In the previous films, Logan was indestructible.  However, his powers are weakening.  He no longer heals as quickly as before.  He’s losing his eyesight.  Even his famous claws are no longer as reliable as they once were.  Logan now works as a limo driver in El Paso.  One night, a group of frat boys have him drive by the border crossing so that they can chant “USA!  USA!”  Another night, he drives around a drunken bachelorette party, trying to ignore one of the bridesmaids exposing her breasts to him.  And then, he picks up Gabriella (Elizabeth Rodriguez) and Laura.

Gabriella is a nurse.  Laura is an apparently mute 11 year-old girl who has the same powers as Logan.  Gabriella asks Logan to help them get to North Dakota (or “Eden,” as Gabriella calls it).  Logan says no but he quickly discovers that he doesn’t have a choice.  A sadistic cyborg named Donald Pierce (Boyd Holbrook, giving a disturbingly charismatic performance) is searching for Gabriella, Laura, and Logan.  The only way for Logan to protect Xavier is to make that trip to North Dakota.

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Pierce, I should mention, isn’t alone.  Pierce has a black-clad army of mercenaries at his disposal but he, and his employer (Richard E. Grant, in the role of the bad guy with the British accent), have a secret weapon.  This weapon looks and acts like a young Logan and there’s a reason for that.  By the end of the film, Logan truly is at war with the savage beast that he once was.

Logan is a violent film, one that doesn’t flinch when it comes to earning its R-rated.  I don’t want to give too much away so excuse my vagueness when I say that, a little over an hour into Logan, there’s a fight scene of such brutality and uncompromising violence that it left me shaken in a way that no other “comic book” film ever has.  Logan earns that R-rating but it never feels exploitive or gratuitous.  When Logan curses (which he does quite a bit), it’s because that’s what people do when they’re in a hopeless situation.  And, for all the fighting and all the blood and all the death, Logan never celebrates violence.

Instead, it celebrates redemption.

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Early on, there’s a rather sweet scene where Xavier and Laura watch Shane on television.  It’s an important scene because, in many ways, Logan is a western.  Logan is the mysterious gunslinger who, after a lifetime of violence, finally has a chance to do something to preserve life rather than spread death.  Just in case we missed, director James Mangold includes a scene in which Logan and Xavier help a family of ranchers round up some horses.  Later, there’s a tense stand-off between Logan and a group of cowboy hat-wearing rednecks that feels as if it could have come straight from a spaghetti western.

Hugh Jackman is an acclaimed and accomplished actor but, to many people, he will always be the Wolverine.  This is his 9th time to play the character and Jackman gives not only his best performance in the role but perhaps the best performance of his career.  (It’s certainly the equal of his Oscar-nominated work in Les Miserables.)  One look at Jackman’s weathered face and his haunted eyes and you immediately know that there’s going to be more to Logan than just comic book action.  And then there’s Patrick Stewart, who has never been more heartbreaking and vulnerable than he is here.  Finally, Dafne Keen gives a fierce performance, one that will probably remind many people of Chloe Grace Moretz’s breakthrough role in Kick-Ass.

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Earlier, I mentioned Mad Max: Fury Road.  It’s an appropriate comparison, as the two films have much in common.  (That said, Logan definitely establishes its own identity.)  There’s been some talk that Logan could be the first comic book film to ever receive a nomination for best picture.  I don’t know if that’s going to happen or not.  (I fear that a lot of Academy members will mentally check out during a jokey pre-credits sequence, one that serves as a teaser for the sequel to Deadpool.  I understand why it was included it at the beginning of the film.  Logan ends on such a poignant note that a post-credits scene would have felt inappropriate.  But still, as much as I love Ryan Reynolds, it feels out-of-place.)  I will say this — Logan deserves consideration.  Logan occasionally had me fighting to catch my breath and it left me with tears in my eyes.  For Logan to get a nomination, it’s going to need the same support from the critics groups that Mad Max: Fury Road received.  The Academy is going to need the critics to reassure them that it’s okay to nominate a film about mutants being chased by a cyborg.  It’s still early in the year.  Anything could happen.

It could be nominated for every Oscar or it could be nominated for none.  But, in the end, Logan is a great film.

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Here’s The Latest Trailer For The American Release of T2 Trainspotting!


T2, Danny Boyle’s sequel to Trainspotting, has already been released in the UK, where it received good but not great reviews.

(If anyone is interested in opening a TSL Bureau in the United Kingdom, please let us know.)

It’ll be released in America later this month.  Here’s the latest trailer for the American release!

Celebrate Texas Independence Day With My Favorite Scene From Bernie!


Happy Texas Independence Day!

Down here in Dallas, we celebrate Texas Independence Day by going down to Dealy Plaza and laughing at all the northern tourists sweating and talking about how they’re about to faint because they can’t handle a 75 degreee day.

But, if that sounds a little bit too mean-spirited to you, you can celebrate by watching my favorite scene from Richard Linklater’s Bernie!  I know that I’ve probably shared this before but what can I say?  I really love this quick lesson about my home state:

By the way, that line about “Dallas snobs,” always got a big laugh from the audiences at the Dallas Angelika.  It’s important to have a sense of humor.

Don’t worry, Vermont.  You’ll learn how to laugh at yourself someday.

 

Courtesy of Zack Snyder’s Twitter Account, here’s some Aquaman Footage!


Apparently, this is the first footage that we’ve seen of Aquaman and … uhmmmm …. yeah.  This doesn’t look incredibly silly at all.

Hey, Zack, would it be too much trouble to get a Sucker Punch sequel?

 

Here’s The Teaser for War Machine!


Hmmm…

Okay, so for two months — January and February to be exact — I was convinced that War Machine was going to be some sort of Oscar contender but this just released teaser has changed my mind.  It’s not that the teaser necessarily looks bad as much as it’s the fact that it ends with “Only on Netflix.”

(So, I guess it’s time to update those predictions before all the other award bloggers come across them and laugh at me.  Seriously, award bloggers are mean!)

(Of course, it’s also not uncommon for Netflix to play their films in a Los Angeles theater for a week so that they’ll be Oscar eligible.  That didn’t really work for Beasts of No Nation, of course….)

Anyway, here’s the teaser!

 

Here’s the Latest Trailer for Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2!


Hey, look!  It’s Kurt Russell!

What I’ve been told is that, apparently, Kurt is playing an entire planet in Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2.  I’m not sure how exactly that works but if anyone can pull off being a planet, I imagine it would be Kurt Russell.

Anyway, if I haven’t already mentioned it, there is probably no film that I am currently looking forward to more than I am looking forward to Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2!

Here the official trailer for Alien: Covenant!


I kind of wish this trailer didn’t open with everyone grinning like a bunch of missionaries preparing to leave on their first trip to the Amazon rain forest but otherwise, Alien: Covenant is looking pretty promising.

In theory, no movie should be scarier than an Alien movie.  Hopefully, Ridley Scott will return this franchise to its former glory.