Lisa Marie’s Oscar Predictions For September


We are just a few hours away from the start of our annual October Horrorthon but, before we do that, I do have one last bit of business to attend to.  Here are my Oscar predictions for the month of September!  If you want to see how my thinking has evolved, be sure to check out my predictions for March, April, May, June, July, and August!

As for my latest set of predictions, they’re largely shaped by the news coming out of the festivals.  Digger is no longer a contender for anything.  And, just as last month, I continue to suspect that Dune Part Three will not be the Oscar powerhouse that some are expecting.  The first two Dune films were both nominated but it just doesn’t feel like there’s a huge sentiment out there that’s saying, “We simply have to keep honoring each new installment!”

Here are my latest predictions!

Best Picture

  • The Debut
  • Elsinore
  • Fjord
  • I Play Rocky
  • La Bola Negra
  • Mr. Irrelevant
  • The Odyssey
  • Primetime
  • Project Hail Mary
  • Wild Horse Nine

Best Director

  • Javier Ambrossi & Javier Calvo — La Bola Negra
  • Jesse Eisenberg — The Debut
  • Phil Lord & Christopher Miller — Project Hail Mary
  • Martin McDonagh — Wild Horse Nine
  • Christopher Nolan — The Odyssey

Best Actor

  • Matt Damon — The Odyssey
  • Anthony Ippolito — I Play Rocky
  • John Malkovich — Wild Horse Nine
  • Robert Pattinson — Primetime
  • Andrew Scott — Elsinore

Best Actress

  • Sandra Hüller — Fatherland
  • Ruth Madeley — Being Heumann
  • Julianne Moore — The Debut
  • Inde Navarrette — Obsession
  • Renate Reinsve — Fjord

Best Supporting Actor

  • Colman Domingo — Michael
  • Paul Giamatti — The Debut
  • Guy Pearce — Ink
  • Sam Rockwell — Wild Horse Nine
  • Jeremy Strong — The Social Reckoning

Best Supporting Actress

  • Colleen Camp — Club Kid
  • Olivia Colman — Elsinore
  • Penélope Cruz — La Bola Negra
  • Anne Hathaway — The Odyssey
  • Samantha Morton — The Odyssey

Fjord Wins At Cannes


Well, another Cannes Film Festival has come to a close.  Here in America, coverage of this year’s festival felt considerably more low-key than previous festivals.  In fact, the conventional wisdom — again, here in America — seems to be that this year’s festival was a disappointment.  Personally, I think there’s just some hurt feelings that only two American films were selected to compete this year.

Neither Paper Tiger nor The Man I Love won anything.  (Fear not, I’m sure that James Gray will be back with another drama about the Russian mafia next year.)  Instead, the Palme d’Or went to Fjord, a film about a traditional Catholic family that finds itself being targeted by a group of progressives.  The Guardian gave Fjord a negative review so I imagine it’s pretty good.  I look forward to seeing it.  It should be noted that, as of the last few years, winning the Palme d’Or has been a plus when it comes to a film’s Oscar chances.  (Even the now universally-derided Emilia Perez starting things off by winning at Cannes.)  We’ll see if the same holds true for Fjord.

Here are the winners from Cannes:

Palme d’Or: Fjord by Cristian Mungiu
Grand Prix: Minotaur by Andrey Zvyagintsev
Jury Prize: The Dreamed Adventure by Valeska Grisebach
Best Director:
Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo for The Black Ball
Paweł Pawlikowski for Fatherland
Best Actress: Virginie Efira and Tao Okamoto for All of a Sudden
Best Actor: Emmanuel Macchia and Valentin Campagne for Coward
Best Screenplay: Emmanuel Marre for A Man of His Time

Un Certain Regard
Un Certain Regard Prize: Everytime by Sandra Wollner
Jury Prize: Elephants in the Fog by Abinash Bikram Shah
Special Jury Prize: Iron Boy by Louis Clichy
Best Actress: Daniela Marín Navarro, Marina de Tavira and Mariangel Villegas for Forever Your Maternal Animal
Best Actor: Bradley Fiomona Dembeasset for Congo Boy

Caméra d’Or
Caméra d’Or: Ben’Imana by Marie Clémentine Dusabejambo

Short Films Competition
Short Film Palme d’Or: For the Opponents by Federico Luis