Lisa Marie’s Early Oscar Predictions For May


These predictions are still too early to really be taken seriously.  The year is getting off to a slow start as far as the Oscars are concerned.  That said, here are my predictions for May!

Check out my predictions for March and April!

Best Picture

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Digger

Dune Part Three

Fatherland

Fjord

I Play Rocky

Primetime

Project Hail Mary

The Social Reckoning

Wild Horse Nine

Best Director

David Fincher for The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Phil Lord and Christopher Miller for Project Hail Mary

Cristian Mungiu for Fjord

Pawel Pawlikowski for Fatherland

Denis Villeneuve for Dune: Part Three

Best Actor

Tom Cruise in Digger

Rami Malek in The Man I Love

John Malkovich in Wild Hose Nine

Robert Pattinson in Primetime

Dominic Sessa in Tony

Best Actress

Daisy Edgar-Jones in Sense and Sensibility

Sandra Huller in Fatherland

Mikey Madison in The Social Reckoning

Julianne Moore in No One Cares

Renate Reinsve in Fjord

Best Supporting Actor

Steve Buscemi in Wild Horse 9

Colman Domingo in Michael

Matt Dillon in I Play Rocky

John Goodman in Digger

Jeremy Strong in The Social Reckoning

Best Supporting Actress

Sandra Huller in Project Hail Mary

Scarlett Johansson in Paper Tiger

Tao Okamoto in All Of A Sudden

Parker Posey in Wild Horse Nine

AnnaSophia Robb in I Play Rocky

Fjord Wins At Cannes


Well, another Cannes Film Festival has come to a close.  Here in America, coverage of this year’s festival felt considerably more low-key than previous festivals.  In fact, the conventional wisdom — again, here in America — seems to be that this year’s festival was a disappointment.  Personally, I think there’s just some hurt feelings that only two American films were selected to compete this year.

Neither Paper Tiger nor The Man I Love won anything.  (Fear not, I’m sure that James Gray will be back with another drama about the Russian mafia next year.)  Instead, the Palme d’Or went to Fjord, a film about a traditional Catholic family that finds itself being targeted by a group of progressives.  The Guardian gave Fjord a negative review so I imagine it’s pretty good.  I look forward to seeing it.  It should be noted that, as of the last few years, winning the Palme d’Or has been a plus when it comes to a film’s Oscar chances.  (Even the now universally-derided Emilia Perez starting things off by winning at Cannes.)  We’ll see if the same holds true for Fjord.

Here are the winners from Cannes:

Palme d’Or: Fjord by Cristian Mungiu
Grand Prix: Minotaur by Andrey Zvyagintsev
Jury Prize: The Dreamed Adventure by Valeska Grisebach
Best Director:
Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo for The Black Ball
Paweł Pawlikowski for Fatherland
Best Actress: Virginie Efira and Tao Okamoto for All of a Sudden
Best Actor: Emmanuel Macchia and Valentin Campagne for Coward
Best Screenplay: Emmanuel Marre for A Man of His Time

Un Certain Regard
Un Certain Regard Prize: Everytime by Sandra Wollner
Jury Prize: Elephants in the Fog by Abinash Bikram Shah
Special Jury Prize: Iron Boy by Louis Clichy
Best Actress: Daniela Marín Navarro, Marina de Tavira and Mariangel Villegas for Forever Your Maternal Animal
Best Actor: Bradley Fiomona Dembeasset for Congo Boy

Caméra d’Or
Caméra d’Or: Ben’Imana by Marie Clémentine Dusabejambo

Short Films Competition
Short Film Palme d’Or: For the Opponents by Federico Luis

Lisa Marie’s Way Too Early Oscar Predictions For April


These are all pretty much random guesses so take them with several grains of salt.

Check out my predictions for March here!

Best Picture

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Digger

Dune Part Three

Fatherland

I Play Rocky

Mr. Irrelevant

The Odyssey

Project Hail Mary

The Social Reckoning

Wild Horse Nine

Best Director

David Fincher for The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Phil Lord and Christopher Miller for Project Hail Mary

Christopher Nolan for The Odyssey

Pawel Pawlikowski for Fatherland

Aaron Sorkin for The Social Reckoning

Best Actor

David Corenswet in Mr. Irrelevant

Tom Cruise in Digger

John Malkovich in Wild Hose Nine

Brad Pitt in The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Hans Zischler in Fatherland

Best Actress

Daisy Edgar-Jones in Sense and Sensibility

Sandra Huller in Fatherland

Mikey Madison in The Social Reckoning

Renate Reinsve in Fjord

Michelle Williams in A Place in Hell

Best Supporting Actor

Scott Caan in The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Willem DaFoe in Werewulf

Colman Domingo in Michael

Matt Dillon in I Play Rocky

Jeremy Strong in The Social Reckoning

Best Supporting Actress

Elizabeth Debicki in The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Scarlett Johansson in Paper Tiger

Tao Okamoto in All Of A Sudden

Parker Posey in Wild Horse Nine

AnnaSophia Robb in I Play Rocky

The New York Film Critics Circle Honors Roma, Hawke, and Hall!


The New York Film Critics Circle announced their picks for the best of 2018 earlier today.  The victories for Roma, Regina King, and Richard E. Grant are not surprising, as all three of them have been getting awards buzz for months.

Ethan Hawke’s victory for First Reformed is a bit more surprising because, even though his performance was widely acclaimed, I think a lot of people assumed that First Reformed came out too early in the year to be an awards contender.  (That’s proving to not be the case, which is a good thing because Hawke’s performance definitely deserves consideration.)

The biggest surprise was Regina Hall’s victory for Support the Girls, a film that I haven’t seen yet,  Is this going to lead to Oscar glory or is this going to be one of those fluke awards that occasionally happens during awards season?  Time will tell but it’s unexpected awards like this that make me love this time of year.

(And yes, I will be watching Support the Girls as soon as I can.  That’s another good thing about awards season.  It can inspire you to take a chance on movies that you might otherwise have missed.)

BEST PICTURE: “Roma” (Netflix)
BEST DIRECTOR: Alfonso Cuaron, “Roma” (Netflix)
BEST ACTOR: Ethan Hawke, “First Reformed” (A24)
BEST ACTRESS: Regina Hall, “Support the Girls” (Magnolia Pictures)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk” (Annapurna Pictures)
BEST SCREENPLAY: “First Reformed” by Paul Schrader (A24)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Alfonso Cuaron, “Roma” (Netflix)
BEST ANIMATED FILM: “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” by Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman (Sony Pictures Animation)
BEST NON-FICTION AWARD: “Minding the Gap” by Bing Liu (Hulu)
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: “Cold War” by Pawel Pawlikowski – Poland (Amazon Studios)
BEST FIRST FILM: Bo Burnham, “Eighth Grade” (A24)
SPECIAL AWARD: David Schwartz, stepping down as Chief Film Curator at Museum of the Moving Image after 33 years AND Kino Classics Box Set “Pioneers: First Women Filmmakers”

 

Here’s What Won At Cannes 2018!


This year’s strangely low-key Cannes Film Festival has come to a close!  Here’s what won at Cannes this year:

In Competition

Palme d’Or: Shoplifters by Hirokazu Kore-eda
Grand Prix: BlacKkKlansman by Spike Lee
Best Director: Paweł Pawlikowski for Cold War
Best Screenplay:
Alice Rohrwacher for Happy as Lazzaro
Jafar Panahi for 3 Faces
Best Actress: Samal Yeslyamova for Ayka
Best Actor: Marcello Fonte for Dogman
Jury Prize: Capernaum by Nadine Labaki
Special Palme d’Or: Jean-Luc Godard

Un Certain Regard

Un Certain Regard Award: Border by Ali Abbasi
Un Certain Regard Jury Prize: The Dead and the Others by João Salaviza and Renée Nader Messora
Un Certain Regard Award for Best Director: Sergei Loznitsa for Donbass
Un Certain Regard Jury Award for Best Performance: Victor Polster for Girl
Un Certain Regard Award for Best Screenplay: Meryem Benm’Barek-Aloïsi for Sofia

Cinéfondation

First Prize: The Summer of the Electric Lion by Diego Céspedes
Second Prize:
Calendar by Igor Poplauhin
The Storms in Our Blood by Shen Di
Third Prize: Inanimate by Lucia Bulgheroni

The question that we ask every year is whether the Cannes Film Festival will have any effect on the Oscar race.  We especially ask that whenever an American film wins the Palme d’Or or an American or British performer takes home one of the acting prizes.  This year, BlacKkKlansman was the highest rewarded American film, though it didn’t pick up the Palme.  That said, even if it didn’t win the top prize, BlacKkKlansman did receive rapturous reviews, certainly enough justify it’s current status as a possible Oscar nominee.

So, in the end — who knows?