Well, now that the latest Oscar ceremony is out of the way, I guess it’s time to focus on predicting what will be nominated next year.
(Well, it’s not really time but if you’re an Oscar-obsessive like I am, you really have no choice. Oscar speculation is an addiction that’s easily shaken off.)
Below, you’ll find my predictions for April. As always, these should be taken with several grains of salt.
First off, I haven’t seen any of these films and some of them might not live up to expectations.
Secondly, I’m not even sure whether the Academy is going to go back to the old rules of using the end of December as their eligibility cut-off or if they’re going to continue with the extended release window that they used last year.
Third, the Oscar picture is never anywhere close clear until November or December rolls around. Right now, I can only predict what I know is going to be released between now and December 31st. Obviously some of the movies below might have their release date changed and several movies will be picked up from the various film festivals. In all probability, next year’s big Oscar winner isn’t even on anyone’s radar right now. (Let’s not forget that, up until February of this year, most people were still predicting that Da 5 Bloods would be a huge Oscar player.)
Also note, the Academy is finally going back to having a set number of best picture nominees so no more of this stupid 7 or 9 nominees nonsense. In theory, that’s good news for film like Dune, which will probably get a lot of technical nominations but which probably would have struggled to make the final best picture lineup under the former rules. Of course, the Academy is also about to institute their inclusion requirements so it will be interesting to see if any of the expected contenders are disqualified from competing for best picture.
If you want to follow how my thinking has developed, be sure to check out my predictions for March!
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
The French Dispatch
A Journal for Jordan
The Last Duel
West Side Story
Paul Thomas Anderson for Soggy Bottom
Wes Anderson for The French Dispatch
Guillermo Del Toro for Nightmare Alley
Steven Spielberg for West Side Story
Denzel Washington for A Journal For Jordan
Bradley Cooper in Nightmare Alley
Peter Dinklage in Cyrano
Adam Driver in The Last Duel
Michael B. Jordan in A Journal for Jordan
Will Smith in King Richard
Cate Blanchett in Nightmare Alley
Jessica Chastain in The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Lady Gaga in House of Gucci
Jennifer Hudson in Respect
Rachel Zegler in West Side Story
Best Supporting Actor
David Alvarez in West Side Story
Willem DaFoe in Nightmare Alley
Andrew Garfield in The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Bill Murray in The French Dispatch
Forest Whitaker in Respect
Best Supporting Actress
Chante Adams in A Journal for Jordan
Judi Dench in Belfast
Vera Farmiga in The Many Saints of Newark
Audra MacDonald in Respect
Marlee Matlin in CODA