Lisa’s Way Too Early Oscar Predictions for February


Well, with the 2018 Oscars finally out of the way, we can now shift our focus to the 2019 race.

As of February, that race is totally cloudy.  The predictions below should be taken with a grain of salt because 1) they’re mostly wild guesses and 2) the Oscar race never starts to become clear until after the summer.  You could probably argue that doing predictions this early in the year is a pointless exercise but here we are!

Best Picture

A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood

Call of the Wild

Captain Marvel

Harriet

The Irishman

The Last Thing He Wanted

Little Women

Once Upon A Time In Hollywood

The Report

Toy Story 4

 

Best Director

Greta Gerwig for Little Women

Kassi Lemmons for Harriet

Chris Sanders for Call of the Wild

Martin Scorsese for The Irishman

Quentin Tarantino for Once Upon A Time In Hollywood

 

Best Actor

Christian Bale in Ford v Ferrari

Robert De Niro in The Irishman

Taron Egerton in Rocketman

Tom Hanks in A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood

Ian McKellen in The Good Liar

 

Best Actress

Amy Adams in The Woman In The Window

Cynthia Erivo in Harriet

Saoirse Ronan in Little Women

Emma Thompson in Late Night

Alfre Woodard in Clemency

 

Best Supporting Actor

Willem DaFoe in The Last Thing He Wanted

Matt Damon in Ford v Ferrari

Harrison Ford in Call of the Wild

Al Pacino in The Irishman

Brad Pitt in Once Upon A Time In Hollywood

 

Best Supporting Actress

Annette Bening in The Report

Nicole Kidman in The Goldfinch

Janelle Monae in Harriet

Margot Robbie in Once Upon A Time in Hollywood

Meryl Streep in Little Women

 

After checking out my pointless predictions for February, be sure to check out my even more pointless predictions for January!

Film Review: Murder by Numbers (dir by Barbet Schroeder)


First released in 2002, Murder by Numbers is one of those films that seems to be pop up on Cinemax every couple of months.  It’s not really that good, though it has its fans because if features Sandra Bullock being all self-destructive and one of the film’s villains is played by a young Ryan Gosling.

Ryan Gosling is Richard Haywood, child of privilege.  He’s handsome.  He’s funny.  He’s popular.  He’s spoiled.  He’s often high.  And he’s totally psychotic.  Richard wants to commit the perfect crime and, fortunately, so does his classmate, Justin (Michael Pitt).  Justin is a fiercely intelligent introvert who spends most of his time reading and writing and playing with his computer.  He’s got a crush on Richard’s ex, Lisa (Agnes Buckner).  From the minute that Lisa showed up and started talking to Justin, I was concerned.  I was like, “Is this another movie that’s going to feature someone named Lisa being murdered?  CHERISH ALL OF THE LISAS IN YOUR LIFE, PEOPLE!”

Anyway, Richard and Justin do end up killing a woman, though not Lisa.  They go through a lot of effort to frame the school’s pervy janitor, Ray (Chris Penn), for the crime.  And they nearly succeed, though Detective Cassie Mayweather (Sandra Bullock) is way too smart to fall for their tricks.  Unfortunately, no one believes anything that Cassie says because she has a shady past and a drinking problem.  Even her sympathetic new partner, Sam Kennedy (Ben Chaplin), thinks that it was probably Ray.

Literally everyone on the police force tells Sam that Cassie is unstable and not to be trusted, which leads to an interesting question.  If everyone’s convinced that everything Cassie says is wrong, why does she still have a job?  Why do they still assign her to cases?  It’s like, “We’ve got a murder that we have to solve!  Let’s give it to that detective who we think never gets anything right!”

Sandra Bullock does her best to bring the self-destructive Cassie to life but she kind of runs into the huge problem that she’s Sandra Bullock and she has such a firmly entrenched screen presence that it’s difficult to take her seriously as someone who spend her free time sitting on a houseboat, getting drunk, and obsessing on the past.  You really want her to give a good performance because it’s impossible not to root for Sandra Bulllock but she’s just too miscast.  You keep expecting Matthew McConaughey to show up, playing a bongo drum and trying to cheer her up.

Far more convincing is Ryan Gosling, who plays Richard as the type of guy that we all knew in high school.  You know he’s a jerk.  You know you should stay away from him.  But he’s just so much fun and he has so much money!  Unfortunately, Gosling is so charismatic that Richard quickly becomes the only compelling character in the film.  I mean, if you have the choice between watching Michael Pitt, Ben Chaplin, or Ryan Gosling, who are you going to go with?  You’re supposed to hate Richard and hope that justice catches up with him but instead, you find yourself hoping that he’ll sneak out of the country and spend the rest of his hiding out in South America or something.

So, as a result, the film really doesn’t work.  (It also doesn’t help matters that it’s directed in a rather detached fashion by the king of ennui, Barbet Schroeder.)  But it’s interesting to watch, just for a chance to see a future star in the making.  Gosling steps into a rather underwritten role and basically takes over the entire damn movie.

It’s also worth seeing for the scene in which Sandra Bullock gets attacked by a baboon.  It’s a weird moment and Schroeder screws things up by mixing in a flashback to Cassie’s past but still, it’s a baboon attacking Sandra Bullock.  That’s not something you see every day.

Documentary Review: Studio 54 (dir by Matt Tyrnauer)


Here’s two things that you should know about me:

First off, I am a huge history nerd.  History fascinates me the way that some people are fascinated by football or video games.  I’m always interested in learning about the way the world used to be and I think one of the biggest problems that we, as a society, have right now is that too few people actually know much about anything that happened before they were born.  For that reason, I absolutely love documentaries.

Secondly, my two favorite 20th century decades are the 20s and the 70s.  If you think about it, both decades have a lot in common.  In both the 20s and the 70s, American reacted to a national trauma by essentially saying, “Fuck this.  I’m going to have a good time.”  After the trauma of World War I and the Spanish Flu pandemic, Americans in the 1920s reacted by retreating to speakeasies and idolizing gangsters and tycoons.  In the 1970s, American dealt with the aftereffects of Vietnam and Watergate by retreating to discotheques and drugs.  It’s all a part of the cycle of history.  When confronted by a combination of trauma and humorless scolds (whether they’re preaching prohibition or governmental reform), many Americans will decide to seek pleasure instead.

(Interestingly enough, the wild parties of the 20s and the 70s were both ended by a combination of a financial crisis and a new presidential administration.)

The 20s and the 70s are especially relevant today because I think we’re on the verge of entering another decade in which people are going to pursue pleasure above all else.  Right now, America is dealing with several traumas and while the humorless scolds may currently be getting the majority of the media attention, there’s a definite backlash brewing.  People are getting tired of being told they have to do this or that they can’t say that.  If the world’s going to end anyway, the thinking will go, we might as well enjoy our final days.

With all that in mind, it’s no surprise that I ended up watching the 2018 documentary, Studio 54, on Netflix last night.

From 1977 to 1979, Studio 54 was the Manhattan discotheque, a nightclub that was populated by the rich, the famous, and the coked up.  Depending on which side of the cultural divide you called home, Studio 54 represented either everything that was good about New York in the 70s or everything that was bad.  It was place where people could be themselves but only if they were famous enough or interesting enough to convince the people working the door to let them in.  In Spike Lee’s ode to New York in the 70s, 1999’s Summer of Sam, John Leguizamo and Mira Sorvino may have been the most glamorous couple in the Bronx but not even that was enough to get them through Studio 54’s front doors.

Through the use of archival footage and interviews with some the people who were actually at Studio 54 during its heyday, Studio 54 shows how two young men, Ian Schrager and Steve Rubell, opened a nightclub in the sleaziest part of Manhattan and quickly became the undisputed kings of New York nightlife.  Perhaps the only thing quicker than their rise was their fall.  A combination of drugs, hubris, and the IRS led to not only Schrager and Rubell losing Studio 54 but also spending a year in prison.  After they two were released from prison, they found success opening up another nightclub and several hotels.  Rubell died in 1989, his official cause of death listed as being hepatitis and septic shock complicated by AIDS.  Schrager has gone on to become one of the world’s top hoteliers and received a presidential pardon in 2017.

Though the film is largely built around interviews with Ian Schrager, it’s the deceased Rubell who dominates the majority of the story.  As Schrager himself puts it, Schrager was an introvert who thrived behind-the-scenes while Rubell was an extrovert who loved hanging out with and being seen in the company of the rich and famous.  One of the most interesting themes of the documentary is that, even though he made a fortune by embracing the LGBT community and its culture with Studio 54, Steve Rubell himself remained closeted.  Rubell, the film suggests, created 54 so he could finally have a place where he could be himself in a way that he couldn’t be in the outside world.  When we see archival footage of Rubell being interviewed during 54’s heyday, we see evidence of both his charisma and his decline.  There’s quite a contrast between the fresh-faced, enthusiastic Rubell who we see at 54’s opening and the exhausted-looking Rubell that we see a year later, slurring his words and looking at the world with dark-circled, bloodshot eyes.

Schrager, unfortunately, never comes across as being as compelling a figure as Rubell.  In his interviews, Schrager is open about some things but there are other times when he seems to shut down.  Schrager tells us about all the work that went into getting Studio 54 ready for its grand opening but, when it comes time to discuss his own arrest for cocaine possession, he becomes evasive.  I guess that’s understandable because, really, who wants to relive being arrested?  But since Shrager’s arrest set off the chain of events that eventually led to 54’s downfall, it’s hard not to regret the feeling that we’re not getting the full story.

The same could be said about this documentary as a whole.  It’s frequently fascinating and I loved seeing all of the old pictures of people like Andy Warhol and Liz Taylor hanging out at Studio 54.  If you’re interested in the McCathy era, you might want to watch this documentary just for the chance to see Roy Cohn show up at Rubell and Schrager’s attorney.  And yet, you watch the film and you regret that it didn’t dig even deeper into both what Studio 54 was and what it represented to people in both the 70s and today.  Studio 54 is a good place to start but, by the end of documentary, you still feel like there’s more to the story than you’ve been told.

Here’s A Trailer For The Secret Life Of Pets 2!


If I remember correctly, I enjoyed the first Secret Life of Pets.  The trailers that I’ve seen for the second one look amusing enough, though it would be even better if there were more cats.

Anyway, this trailer came out a few days ago and it specifically focuses on the character of Rooster.  It’s cute.  I’ll probably see the movie when it’s released on June 7th.

It still needs more cats, though.

Here Are Your 2018 Oscar Winners!


Here are the winner of the 91st Academy Awards!

(I went 13 for 24, which is the worst I’ve done in a while. Oh well.  It was a strange year.)

Best Picture — Green Book

Best Director — Alfonso Cuaron, Roma

Best Actor — Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Actress — Olivia Colman, The Favourite

Best Supporting Actor — Mahershala Ali, Green Book

Best Supporting Actress — Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Adapted Screenplay — BlackKklansman

Best Original Screenplay — Green Book

Best Animated Feature Film — Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Best Foreign Language Film — Roma

Best Documentary Feature — Free Solo

Best Documentary (Short Subject) — Period,  End of Sentence.

Best Live Action Short Film — Skin

Best Animated Short Film — Bao

Best Original Score — Black Panther

Best Original Song — “Shallow” from A Star is Born

Best Sound Editing — Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Sound Mixing — Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Production Design — Black Panther

Best Cinematography — Roma

Best Makeup and Hairstyling — Vice

Best Costume Design — Black Panther

Best Editing — Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Visual Effects — First Man

Here’s The Trailer for Finding Steve McQueen!


When I first saw the title, I assumed that it was going to be documentary about the never-ending cool of Steve McQueen (the actor, not the director, though the director is pretty cool too) but then I watched the trailer and it turned out to be a heist film.

It’s apparently based on a true story and it looks like the film has all sorts of wonderful period detail.  At the same time, it’s hard not to regret that it’s not actually a film about Steve McQueen dealing with the ennui of being a film star by masterminding a robbery.

Oh well.  At least the cast looks good!

I don’t yet have a release date for this one but here’s the trailer!

Here’s The Trailer For Never Grow Old!


As I watching the trailer for Never Grow Old, I thought to myself, “Hmmmm.  A Western starring John Cusack and Jack Black….”

Then I realized that I was actually incorrect and this is a western starring John Cusack and Emile Hirsch.

That, of course, leads to one very important question.  WHEN DID EMILE HIRSCH TURN INTO JACK BLACK!?

Anyway, this trailer makes it look like this film is either going to be very good or very bad.  I guess it depends on whether or not Cusack’s performance is going to be as eccentric as the trailer makes it appear that it might be.  The trailer, itself, is full of atmosphere and I like that final shot of the American flag so I hope this film lives up to its potential.

 

Here’s The Trailer For Dragged Across Concrete!


For everyone who is looking forward to following Oscar season with some good B-movie action , here’s the trailer for Dragged Across Concrete!

In this film, Mel Gibson and Vince Vaughn play two cops who get suspended from the force and decide to support themselves by ripping off some criminals.  It’s a bit of an homage to the over-the-top grindhouse films of the 70s and 80s and, believe it or not, a source that I trust has not only seen the film but also told me that it’s actually a really good, surprisingly intelligent film.  Considering that the film has a 2 hour and 30 minute running time, it better be!

Dragged Across Concrete is the latest film from S. Craig Zahler, who previously directed Vaughn in the acclaimed Brawl in Cell Block 99.  Dragged Across Concrete will be released on March 22nd.

Here’s The Trailer For Rocketman!


So, there’s a biopic of Elton John coming out this year.  It’s called Rocketman and it stars Taron Egerton in the lead role.  Just judging from a lot of the early publicity, it sounds like the hope is that the same audience that made Bohemian Rhapsody a hit will also do the same for Rocketman.

So, does that mean that Rocketman is being set up to be an Oscar contender, just like Bohemian Rhapsody?  It’s hard to say.  (Of course, it should be remembered that most observers were genuinely shocked when Bohemian Rhapsody won the Golden Globe that pretty much launched it as a legitimate best picture contender.)  One thing working against Rocketman as an Oscar contender is that the film is being released at the end of May, which is generally kind of a bad time to be released.

(I know, I know.  Early release dates didn’t harm either Black Panther or Grand Budapest Hotel.)

So, who knows?  All that we can say for sure is that, from what we’ve seen, Taron seems to look the part.  Here’s the trailer that was released earlier this week.

6 Good Films That Were Not Nominated For Best Picture: The 2010s


Concluding our look at good films that were not nominated for best picture, here are 6 films from the 2010s.

Exit Through The Gift Shop (2010, dir by Banksy)

This wonderfully subversive documentary was my second-favorite film of 2010, right behind Black Swan.  Was it real or was it all a hoax?  In then end, does it matter?  This brilliant film definitely deserved to be the first documentary to be nominated for best picture.  Instead, sadly enough, it was only nominated for Best Documentary Feature and it lost to the rather boring Inside Job.

Upstream Color (2013, dir by Shane Carruth)

Shane Carruth’s haunting and enigmatic Upstream Color was a film unlike any others.  This brilliant film was my favorite of 2013 but, sadly, it was totally snubbed by the Academy.

A Field In England (2014, dir by Ben Wheatley)

Speaking of haunting and enigmatic, A Field In England may not be for everyone but it’s still one of the most memorable films released over the past 6 years.  Was it a horror story?  Was it a historical heist film?  Was it all a hallucination, inspired by eating mushrooms found in the field mentioned in the title?  Your guess is as good as mine but you’ll never forget about it, even if the Academy saw fit to snub it.

Calvary (2014, dir by John Michael McDonagh)

This Irish meditation on sin and salvation featured one of Brendan Gleeson’s best performances, a brilliant script, and an unforgettable ending.  Sadly, not only was Gleeson snubbed but the Academy ignored the rest of the film as well.  Still, it’s one of the best films ever made about being Catholic and Irish in the 21st Century.

Carol (2015, dir by Todd Haynes)

How this film was not nominated for best picture, I’ll never understand.  Cate Blanchett and Rooney Mara have never been better.  This is a moving and poignant film about two women who, in the end, refuse to allow society to dictate who they are and who they love.

American Honey (2016, dir Andrea Arnold)

In American Honey, Andrea Arnold creates an unforgettable portrait of life on the fringes and she gets a star-making performance from Sasha Lane, as well.  Even Shia LaBeouf is tolerable in this film!  American Honey was perhaps too long and, narratively, too loose for the Academy’s a taste.  That’s a shame because American Honey is a film that future historians will look at when they want to know what America was like in 2016.

And that concludes our look at good films that were not nominated for best picture!  Enjoy the Oscars, everyone!