The Best Picture Race: The 1960s


Ah, the 60s. Both the studio system and the production code collapsed as Hollywood struggled to remain relevant during a time of great social upheaval. The Academy alternated between nominating films that took chances and nominating films that cost a lot of money. It led to some odd best picture lineups.

1960

The Alamo

The Apartment

Elmer Gantry

Sons and Lovers

The Sundowners

Won: The Apartment

Should Have Won: The two best and most influential films of 1960 — Hitchcock’s Psycho and Kubrick’s Spartacus — went unnominated. Of the nominees, The Apartment deserved its victory.

1961

Fanny

The Guns of Navarone

The Hustler

Judgment and Nuremberg

West Side Story

Won: West Side Story

Should Have Won: Again, of the films nominated, the Academy made the right decision. West Side Story earned that victory. When you’re a Jet, you’re the best. That said, I do so wish that Breakfast at Tiffany’s had been nominated. (Of course, if I had the power to go back and change the nominees, I would also have the power to remove all of the scenes with Mickey Rooney as Holly’s neighbor. That’s the good thing about having power.)

1962

Lawrence of Arabia

The Longest Day

The Music Man

Mutiny on the Bounty

To Kill A Mockingbird

Won: Lawrence of Arabia

Should Have Won: Now, this was a great year for films! With the exception of Mutiny on the Bounty, all of the nominees deserved to be there. There were a lot of other films released that year that probably deserved to be nominated as well: Advise and Consent, The Manchurian Candidate, The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance, Whatever Happened To Baby Jane, Days of Wine and Roses, Lolita, David and Lisa, The Miracle Worker, and so many others. It’s so hard for me to pick between Lawrence of Arabia and To Kill A Mockingbird. In the end, and this should not be taken as criticism of Lawrence of Arabia at all, I probably would have voted for To Kill A Mockingbird.

1963

America, America

Cleopatra

How the West Was Won

Lillies of the Field

Tom Jones

Won: Tom Jones

Should Have Won: If 1962 featured one of the strongest best picture lineups, 1963 features one of the weakest. In a unimpressive field in which only two best picture nominees also received nomination for best director, Tom Jones seems like the obvious winner. That said, Cleopatra is such an amazing disaster that I’d probably have to vote for it just to make sure that the world never forgot it. From Russia With Love was released in the UK during this year but it wasn’t released in the U.S. in time to qualify for the ’63 Oscars. Still, I’m going to pretend that it was and name it the best film of 1963.

1964

Becket

Dr. Strangelove: Or How I Learned To Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb

Mary Poppins

My Fair Lady

Zorba the Greek

Won: My Fair Lady

Should Have Won: My Fair Lady is a good example of a film that won because the Academy was trying to pretend that it was still the 1950s. I would have voted for Dr. Strangelove.

1965

Darling

Doctor Zhivago

Ship of Fools

The Sound of Music

A Thousand Clowns

Won: The Sound of Music

Should Have Won: While international cinema was breaking boundaries and challenging audiences, the Academy was honoring My Fair Lady and The Sound of Music. The 1965 best picture line-up is not a particularly strong one and A Thousand Clowns is somehow even more annoying than The Sound of Music. (“Yessir, that’s my baby” — SHUT UP!) That said, for me, Darling is the clear winner.

1966

Alfie

A Man For All Seasons

The Russians Are Coming, The Russians Are Coming

The Sand Pebbles

Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Won: A Man For All Seasons

Should Have Won: Another weird lineup. A Man For All Seasons isn’t bad but it still feels more like homework than cinema. Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf? was a groundbreaking film and featured Elizabeth Taylor and Richard Burton at their best. Alfie made a star out of Michael Caine. That said, the more I thought about it, the more I liked The Russians Are Coming, The Russians Are Coming. It’s a likable comedy. It’s a bit lightweight. But, of all the nominees in this admittedly imperfect lineup, it’s probably the one I would want to watch more than once.

(That said, if I was in charge of the ’66 nomination, the Best Picture lineup would have been: Blowup, Juliet of the Spirits, Seconds, Kill Baby Kill, A Man and A Woman, and The Oscar, just to mess with people. The ratings for my Academy Awards would be so low that the Oscars would probably never be televised again.)

1967

Bonnie and Clyde

Dr. Doolittle

The Graduate

Guess Who’s Coming To Dinner

In The Heat of the Night

Won: In The Heat of the Night

Should Have Won: In The Heat Of The Night isn’t bad but it’s also not The Graduate. The Graduate gets my vote, even though I know Benjamin and Elaine probably broke up as soon as they got off that bus.

1968

Funny Girl

The Lion in Winter

Oliver!

Rachel, Rachel

Romeo and Juliet

Won: Oliver!

Should Have Won: What a weird line-up! Consider some of the eligible films that were not nominated: Petulia, Pretty Poison, The Good The Bad and the Ugly, 2001, Planet of the Apes, Rosemary’s Baby. Oliver! is better than My Fair Lady and The Sound of Music but it still feels like a film that won largely because it was a big production. Out of the nominees, I guess I would vote for …. Romeo and Juliet. I know The Lion in Winter is great but Romeo and Juliet brought Shakespeare to vibrant life.

1969

Anne of the Thousand Days

Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid

Hello, Dolly!

Midnight Cowboy

Z

Won: Midnight Cowboy

Should Have Won: The Academy was really struggling to find itself in 1969. Here are some of the eligible films that were not nominated: Once Upon A Time In The West, The Wild Bunch, Easy Rider, Medium Cool, Alice’s Restaurant, They Shoot Horses Don’t They?, Last Summer, and Bob & Ted & Carol & Alice. Instead, the best picture lineup was made up of: an international political thriller, a buddy comedy, an X-rated film about New York hustlers, an overproduced musical, and an old-fashioned historical drama. That said, out of the nominees, I think the Academy made the right choice. Though the film has a few pretentious moments, Midnight Cowboy remains an effective portrait of life on the fringes of society.

Now, put on your bell bottoms. Do a line of coke. Turn on the Bee Gees. Coming up in about an hour — it’s the 70s!

Midnight Cowboy (1969; Dir by John Schlesinger)

The Best Picture Race: The 1950s


Continuing our look at the Best Picture races of the past, it’s now time to enter the 50s! World War II was over. Eisenhower was President. Everyone was worried about communist spies. And the Hollywood studios still reigned supreme, even while actors like Marlon Brando and James Dean challenged the establishment.

1950

All About Eve

Born Yesterday

Father of the Bride

King Solomon’s Mines

Sunset Boulevard

Won: All About Eve

Should Have Won: The Academy started out the decade by getting it right. While I love Sunset Boulevard and could definitely make a case for why it could have won, All About Eve was the best film nominated and one of the best films ever made.

1951

An American Paris

Decision Before Dawn

A Place In The Sun

Quo Vadis

A Streetcar Named Desire

Won: An American In Paris

Should Have Won: An American In Paris was a bit of an unexpected winner. A Streetcar Named Desire swept almost all of the acting prizes (only Marlon Brando failed to take home an Oscar) but the film itself is a bit too theatrical for me. As much as I Like An American In Paris, my personal vote would have gone to A Place In The Sun.

1952

The Greatest Show on Earth

High Noon

Ivanhoe

Moulin Rouge

The Quiet Man

Won: The Greatest Show on Earth

Should Have Won: Cecil B. DeMille’s The Greatest Show On Earth is often described as being the worst film to ever win best picture. I don’t know if I’d go that far but the Oscar still should have gone to either High Noon or The Quiet Man. With The Greatest Show on Earth, the Academy went for spectacle over …. well, everything else. It was not the first time the Academy did so, nor would it be the last.

1953

From Here To Eternity

Julius Caesar

The Robe

Roman Holiday

Shane

Won: From Here To Eternity

Should Have Won: I love both Julius Caesar and Roman Holiday but, in this case, the Academy picked the right film.

1954

The Caine Mutiny

The Country Girl

On The Waterfront

Seven Brides For Seven Brothers

Three Coins In The Fountain

Won: On the Waterfront

Should Have Won: I want to say Rear Window but it wasn’t even nominated. On The Waterfront is the best made and the best acted of all the nominees but that the film’s support for “naming names” will never sit well with me. Like many of Elia Kazan’s films, it also gets a bit too heavy-handed towards the end. (One always got the feeling that Kazan didn’t trust his audience to figure out things on their own.) I’ll go with The Caine Mutiny, if just for Humphrey Bogart’s amazing performance as Queeg.

1955

Love is Many Splendored Thing

Marty

Mister Roberts

Picnic

The Rose Tattoo

Won: Marty

Should Have Won: This is a difficult one for me. All of the nominated films are fairly weak. The best remember films of 1955 — Rebel Without A Cause, Kiss Me Deadly, East of Eden — weren’t even nominated. Marty‘s likable but it still feels like a made-for-TV movie. I’ll go with Picnic, just for the scene where William Holden and Kim Novak dance on the dock.

1956

Around the World in 80 Days

Friendly Persuasion

Giant

The King and I

The Ten Commandments

Won: Around The World In 80 Days

Should Have Won: In a year in which all of the nominees were epic in scope, Around The World In 80 Days won because it featured a cameo from nearly everyone in Hollywood. It’s a bit of a drag to watch today, despite the charm of David Niven. Personally, of the nominated films, I would have gone with …. mock me if you will …. The Ten Commandments. As flawed as it may be, it’s still incredibly watchable and never dull. If I couldn’t vote for The Ten Commandments, I’d probably vote for Giant, just because it’s a movie about my home state.

1957

The Bridge on the River Kwai

Peyton Place

Sayonara

12 Angry Men

Witness for the Prosecution

Won: The Bridge on the River Kwai

Should Have Won: The Bridge on the River Kwai is a worthy winner but my favorite of the nominees is definitely 12 Angry Men. And I’ll admit that I’ve always enjoyed Peyton Place as well.

1958

Auntie Mame

Cat On A Hot Tin Roof

The Defiant Ones

Gigi

Separate Tables

Won: Gigi

Should Have Won: Gigi’s good but I would have to vote for the overheated but always entertaining melodrama of Cat On A Hot Tin Roof. Of course, the best films of the year — Vertigo and Touch of Evil — were not nominated.

1959

Anatomy of a Murder

Ben-Hur

The Diary of Anne Frank

The Nun’s Story

Room At The Top

Won: Ben-Hur

Should Have Won: I actually like Ben-Hur but I absolutely love Anatomy of a Murder. It’s one of the best courtroom films ever made and it features James Stewart at his absolute best.

Up next, in about 30 minutes — the 60s!

The Best Picture Race: The 1940s


Orson Welles in Citizen Kane

Ah, the 40s! For most of the decade, the world was at war and the Academy’s nominations reflected that fact. The best picture lineups alternated between patriotic films that encouraged the battle against evil and darker films that contemplated both the mistakes of the past and what threats might be waiting in the future.

1940

All This, and Heaven Too

Foreign Correspondent

The Grapes of Wrath

The Great Dictator

Kitty Foyle

The Letter

The Long Voyage Home

Our Town

The Philadelphia Story

Rebecca

Won: Rebecca

Should Have Won: Rebecca was the only Hitchcock film to win Best Picture and while I hate to take that honor away from him, it simply cannot compare to the power of John Ford’s adaptation of The Grapes of Wrath. Considering that people nowadays tend to assume that FDR just waved a magic wand and ended The Great Depression as soon as he was elected, The Grapes of Wrath is still an important historic document of just how bad things truly were in the 1930s. (World War II ended the Great Depression for more effectively than the New Deal ever did.)

1941

Blossoms in the Dust

Citizen Kane

Here Comes Mr. Jordan

Hold Back the Down

How Green Way My Valley

The Little Foxes

The Maltese Falcon

One Foot in Heaven

Sergeant York

Suspicion

Won: How Green Was My Valley

Should Have Won: Citizen Kane. Was there ever any doubt?

1942

49th Parallel

Kings Row

The Magnificent Ambersons

Mrs. Miniver

The Pied Piper

The Pride of the Yankees

Random Harvest

The Talk of the Town

Wake Island

Yankee Doodle Dandy

Won: Mrs. Miniver

Should Have Won: Mrs. Miniver was a heartfelt tribute to the strength of the British people and it’s certainly understandable why the Academy honored it. That said, today, the over-the-top melodrama of Kings Row is a lot more fun to watch.

1943

Casablanca

For Whom The Bell Tolls

Heaven Can Wait

The Human Comedy

In Which We Serve

Madame Currie

The More The Merrier

The Ox-Bow Incident

The Song of Bernadette

Watch on the Rhine

Won: Casablanca

Should Have Won: Casablanca. The Academy got it right.

Casablanca (1943, dir by Michael Curtiz)

1944

Double Indemnity

Gaslight

Going My Way

Since You Went Away

Wilson

Won: Going My Way

Should have Won: The Academy went from nominating ten films to only nominating five this year. (Decades later, it would go back to nominating ten.) Darryl F. Zanuck launched an all-out blitz to convince the Academy to honor Wilson, a film about one of our worst presidents. The Academy instead went with Going My Way, a pleasant crowd-pleaser. I would have voted for Double Indemnity, a film that was perhaps too cynical to win at a time when America was at war.

1945

Anchors Aweigh

The Bells of St. Mary’s

The Lost Weekend

Mildred Pierce

Spellbound

Won: The Lost Weekend

Should Have Won: I agree with the Academy. The Lost Weekend is an underrated winner but it’s still undeniably effective.

1946

The Best Years of Our Lives

Henry V

It’s A Wonderful Life

The Razor’s Edge

The Yearling

Won: The Best Years Of Our Lives

Should Have Won: The Best Years Of Our Lives was one of the first films to deal with the struggle of returning veterans. It’s a great film. That said, I still have to vote for It’s A Wonderful Life, a film that is far darker than its reputation as a holiday favorite might suggest.

1947

The Bishop’s Wife

Crossfire

Gentleman’s Agreement

Great Expectations

Miracle on 34th Street

Won: Gentleman’s Agreement

Should Have Won: Crossfire. Like Gentleman’s Agreement, Crossfire deals with anti-Semitism. Crossfire, though, does so in a far more direct, angry, and effective manner.

1948

Hamlet

Johnny Belinda

The Red Shoes

The Snake Pit

Treasure of the Sierra Madre

Won: Hamlet

Should Have Won: Hamlet is an excellent film but The Treasure of the Sierra Madre is one of the best ever. John Huston’s look at the power of greed gets my vote.

1949

All the King’s Men

Battleground

The Heiress

Letter To Three Wives

Twelve O’Clock High

Won: All The King’s Men

Should Have Won: In this case, I think that Academy got it right. All The King’s Men is a film that seems rather prophetic today. Willie Stark would have made out like a bandit during the COVID lockdowns.

Up next, get ready to like Ike and hate commies because we’re heading into the 50s!

The Best Picture Race: The 1930s


Ah, the 1930s. America was mired in the Great Depression. FDR was plotting to pack the courts. In Europe, leaders were trying to ignore what was happening in Italy, Spain, and Germany. As for the Academy, it was still growing and developing and finding itself. With people flocking to the movies and the promise of an escape from reality, the Academy Awards went from being an afterthought to a major cultural event.

1930–1931

Cimarron

East Lynne

The Front Page

Skippy

Trader Horn

Won: Cimarron

Should Have Won: This is a tough year. None of the nominees are really that great. The two main contenders were Cimarron and Trader Horn but neither one has aged particularly well. Of the film that were nominated, The Front Page probably holds up the best. The best of the film eligible for these split-year Oscars — Little Caesar and The Public Enemy — were not nominated for Best Picture.

1931–1932

Arrowsmith

Bad Girl

The Champ

Five Star Final

Grand Hotel

One Hour With You

Shanghai Express

The Smiling Lieutenant

Won: Grand Hotel

Should Have Won: Of the nominees, Grand Hotel deserved its victory. If only Frankenstein had been nominated!

1932 — 1933

Cavalcade

42nd Street

A Farewell to Arms

I Am A Fugitive From A Chain Gang

Lady For A Day

Little Women

The Private Life of Henry VIII

She Done Him Wrong

Smilin’ Through

State Fair

Won: Cavalcade

Should Have Won: Cavalcade is one of the more forgotten best picture winners and for good reason. It’s just not that interesting. Of the other nominees, I Am A Fugitive From A Chain Gang is the most powerful and 42nd Street is the most entertaining. In the end, my vote would have gone to 42nd Street. The original King Kong was eligible but not nominated.

1934

The Barretts of Wimpole Street

Cleopatra

Flirtation Walk

The Gay Divorcee

Here Comes The Navy

The House of Rothschild

Imitation of Life

It Happened One Night

One Night of Love

The Thin Man

Viva Villa!

The White Parade

Won: It Happened One Night

Should Have Won: Oh wow. I really love The Thin Man but seriously, nothing beats Clark Gable and Claudette Colbert in It Happened One Night. For the first time this decade, the Academy got it right.

1935

Alice Adams

Broadway Melody of 1936

Captain Blood

David Copperfield

The Informer

The Lives of Bengal Lancer

Midsummer Night’s Dream

Les Miserables

Mutiny on the Bounty

Naughty Marietta

Ruggles of Red Gap

Top Hat

Won: Mutiny on the Bounty

Should Have Won: Mutiny on the Bounty isn’t bad but my vote has to go to Top Hat, a film that is pure joy.

1936

Anthony Adverse

Dodsworth

The Great Ziegfeld

Libeled Lady

Mr. Deeds Go To Town

Romeo and Juliet

San Francisco

The Story of Louis Pasteur

A Tale of Two Cities

Three Smart Girls

Won: The Great Ziegfeld

Should Have Won: The Great Ziegfeld is a good example of a film that won because it was big. It was a spectacle. It overwhelmed audiences and voters with how overproduced it was. Seen today, it’s entertaining but overlong. My vote would have gone to the far more low-key (but also far more intelligent) Dodsworth.

1937

The Awful Truth

Captains Courageous

Dead End

The Good Earth

In Old Chicago

The Life of Emile Zola

Lost Horizon

One Hundred Men and a Girl

Stage Door

A Star is Born

Won: The Life of Emile Zola

Should Have Won: The Life of Emile Zola isn’t a bad film but it’s not the best of the nominees. Dead End features one of Humphrey Bogart’s best pre-Casablanca performances and The Awful Truth is a classic screwball comedy with Cary Grant and Irene Dunne. In the end, my vote would have gone to The Awful Truth.

1938

The Adventures of Robin Hood

Alexander’s Ragtime Band

Boys Town

The Citadel

Four Daughters

Grand Illusion

Jezebel

Pygmalion

Test Pilot

You Can’t Take It With You

Won: You Can’t Take It With You

Should Have Won: Damn. As much as I hate to vote against any movie starring Jimmy Stewart, there’s no way that I can take You Can’t Take It With You over either The Adventures of Robin Hood or Grand Illusion. Robin Hood is the most entertaining of the nominees but Grand Illusion is the most important. My vote goes to Grand Illusion.

1939

Dark Victory

Gone With The Wind

Goodbye, Mr. Chips

Love Affair

Mr. Smith Goes To Washington

Ninotchka

Of Mice and Men

Stagecoach

The Wizard of Oz

Wuthering Heights

Won: Gone With The Wind

Should Have Won: This is such a difficult year because I can make a case for all of the nominees, with the exception of the creaky Love Affair. In the end, my vote goes to …. argh! This is so hard. I’m juggling Gone With The Wind, Mr. Smith Goes To Washington, Wuthering Heights, Stagecoach, Ninotchka, and The Wizard of Oz in my head. Can I pick all of them? No? Okay, I’ll go with …. Hell, I have to go with Jimmy Stewart holding the Senate hostage. Sorry, Wizard of Oz. I vote for Mr. Smith Goes To Washington, which has Jimmy Stewart and no munchkins.

And that’s it for the 30s. Up next, in about 30 minutes, it’s time for the 40s!

The Best Picture Race: The 1920s


The Oscars started out as an afterthought.

When Louis B. Mayer first proposed setting up what would become the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences in 1927, he wasn’t really that interested in giving out awards. Instead, he saw the Academy as an organization that would mediate labor disputes between the studios and the unions. He also felt that the Academy could basically be used to improve the film industry’s image, which had taken a hit from the rape trial of Fatty Arbuckle, the overdose of Wallace Reid, and the murder of William Desmond Taylor. When he and the other 35 founders of the Academy met to draw up the organization’s charter, the idea of giving out awards was mentioned only in passing. A committee would be set up to give out yearly awards to honor the best that Hollywood had to offer.

The first Academy Awards ceremony was held in a hotel ballroom in 1928. It occurred at the end of a private dinner and the awards were handed out in 15 minutes. The 2nd ceremony was the first to be broadcast on the radio. It was only when the Academy got around to the third ceremony that the Oscars started to transform into the spectacle that we know today. It was only then that people started to really pay attention to what was and was not nominated for Best Picture.

Today, for Oscar Sunday, we’re taking a a decade-by-decade look at the Best Picture races of the past. We start with those first three ceremonies.

Wings (1927, dir by William Wellman)

1927–1928

Uniquely, the very first Academy Awards saw the presentation for two best picture trophies. Best Production went to the most entertaining film. Unique and Artistic Production went to the most artistic film.

Production

The Racket

Seventh Heaven

Wings

Unique and Artistic Production

Chang

The Crowd

Sunrise

Won: Wings and Sunrise

Should Have Won: The first time out, the Oscars got it right. People tend to be a bit dismissive of Wings but it has that one amazing tracking shot and it also features the wonderful Clara Bow. Sunrise, meanwhile, is a triumph in every way. Among the eligible films not nominated: Buster Keaton’s The General and Fritz Lang’s Metropolis.

Sunrise (1927, dir by F.W. Murnau) Won Best Unique and Artistic Picture

1928–1929

Uniquely, only the winners were announced for the 2nd awards ceremony. The “nominees” listed below are taken from a list of notes that were taken while the judges were discussing who and what to honor.

Alibi

The Broadway Melody

The Hollywood Revue of 1929

In Old Arizona

The Patriot

Won: The Broadway Melody

Should Have Won: The Broadway Melody was the first musical to win but it’s aged terribly. I actually prefer The Hollywood Revue of 1929, which has no plot but which does feature a bunch of MGM stars singing, dancing, and showing off that they were having no problem transitioning for silent cinema to sound films. Or, at least, that was the idea. Poor John Gilbert.

1929–1930

All Quiet On The Western Front

The Big House

Disraeli

The Divorcee

The Love Parade

Won: All Quiet On The Western Front

Should Have Won: All Quiet On The Western Front. Third time out, the Academy got it right.

Up next, the Stock Market crashes and we enter a scary new decade in American history. In about 30 minutes, we’ll be taking a look at the 1930s!

6 Actresses Who I Hope Will Win An Oscar In The Next Ten Years


 

Scarlett Johansson

If Scarlett Johansson hadn’t spent several years appearing in Marvel films, she’d probably have an Oscar by now.  She was nominated twice in 2019, for JoJo Rabbit and Marriage Story.  I would argue that she also deserved nominations for Under The Skin and Lost in Translation as well.  Indeed, considering that Jonathan Lynn revealed himself to be a pretentious blowhard when he was accepting his Oscar for The Zone of Interest, it seems even more likely than before that the power of Under the Skin was totally due to Johansson’s performance.  This year, she’ll be appearing in Paper Tiger, James Gray’s latest movie about two brothers dealing with the Russian mafia.  (Seriously, how many times has Gray made this movie?)

Kirsten Dunst

Kirsten finally received her first nomination for The Power of the Dog and she probably would have won if that film hadn’t been such a remote and chilly viewing experience.  Dunst is a Hollywood survivor, someone who has gone from appearing in cutesy film like Get Over It to becoming one of the best interpreters of depression out there.  Between Melancholia and Power of the Dog, there’s really no excuse for her not to have an Oscar already.

Carey Mulligan

Mulligan should have won an Oscar for An Education.  Along with An Education, she’s also been nominated for Promising Young Woman and Maestro.  She deserved a nomination for Shame as well.  Carey Mulligan is one of the most intelligent actresses of her generation and hopefully, she’ll get the award that she deserves soon.

Anya Taylor-Joy

Taylor-Joy has seemed like an eventual nominee ever since her role in The Witch.  This year, she’ll be playing Joni Mitchell in Cameron Crowe’s currently untitled biopic and appearing in Dune: Part Three.  It’ll be interesting to see if she follows the Timothee Chalamet route of getting nominated for playing an iconic singer.

Kate Hudson

A lot of people have been dismissive of Kate Hudson’s nomination for Song Sung Blue.  Well, I’ve actually seen the film and I hope she wins tonight.  She gave a great performance.  And if she does lose to Jessie Buckley or Rose Byrne tonight, I hope she’ll get a third nomination soon.

Amy Adams

A few years ago, Amy Adams seemed certain to win an Oscar at some point in the very near future.  Since 2005, she has received 6 Oscar nominations and her lack of a nomination for Arrival is often cited as one of Oscar’s more bizarre decisions.  And yet, it’s been 8 years since Adams was last nominated, for Adam McKay’s irksome “satire,” Vice.  Adams has continued to appear in major films.  In fact, many of her recent roles have been the type that seem to have Oscar nomination written all over them.  That may be a part of the problem.  Adams’s main strength as an actress has always been her natural authenticity.  With films like Hillbilly Elegy and Nightbitch, she almost seemed to be trying too hard to catch the attention of the Academy.  Her upcoming film, At The Sea, features her as a recovering addict and, again, it seems like the type of role that would get her nomination but the film itself was greeted with derision when it premiered at the Berlin Film Festival.  Oh well.  I remain hope that my fellow redhead will finally get the Oscar that she deserves.

 

 

 

 

 

6 Actors Who I Hope Will Win An Oscar In The Next Ten Years


Ethan Hawke

I should begin by saying that there’s a good chance that Ethan Hawke will win an Oscar later tonight.  He’s been nominated for Blue Moon.  When this Oscar season began, he was definitely the front runner.  As of late, the momentum seems to have shifted toward Michael B. Jordan or perhaps Timothee Chalamet but still, one should not totally discount Hawke’s chances.  If Hawke does lose tonight, I have no doubt that he will be nominated in the future and eventually, he will win.  It’ll be long overdue.  As you can probably guess by the picture at the start of this post, I’m one of those people who thinks that he definitely should have won for Boyhood.

Colin Farrell

Colin Farrell finally received his first Oscar nomination for The Banshees of Inisherin but he lost the award to Brendan Fraser.  Farrell is not an actor who has always gotten the respect that he deserves.  Especially early in his career, he was often miscast.  Much like Matthew McConaughey, he was often dismissed as just being a pretty boy until he met a director — in this case, Martin McDonagh — who truly understood how to best utilize Farrell’s screen presence.  As In Bruges, Banshees and The Penguin showed, Farrell is essentially a character actor in a leading man’s body.  My hope is that Farrell will win his first Oscar between now and 2036 and that he’ll give a memorable acceptance speech.

Brendan Gleeson

Speaking of The Banshees of Inisherin, how does Brandan Gleeson only have one Oscar nomination to his name?  Now, to be clear, I don’t begrudge the fact that Gleeson lost to Ke Huy Quan.  Quan had a wonderful personal story, gave the best performance in the overrated mess that was Everything Everywhere All At Once, and his acceptance speech was truly touching.  That said, my sincere hope is that the Academy understands that Gleeson is long overdue an Oscar.  Hopefully, that will be corrected soon.

Kurt Russell

Kurt Russell is one of those actors who I just can’t believe has never been nominated.  In a few days, Kurt Russell will be turning 75.  He’s been a popular actor for most of his life but he’s not getting any younger.  So, get with it, Academy!  I don’t care what his next film is.  I don’t care how big the role is.  Give Kurt Russell his Oscar!

Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise has had an interesting career.  He went from being a teen idol to a character actor to a somewhat disreputable celebrity to finally reemerging with the Mission Impossible films as one of our last true movie stars.  One need only watch Top Gun: Maverick to see the type of charisma that we’re going to miss once it’s gone.  Later this year, Cruise will be starring in Digger.

Sylvester Stallone

Seriously, how many times does this man have to play Rocky and Rambo before the Academy finally gives him the award that everyone secretly wants him to win?  Give Stallone his Oscar!

6 Directors Who I Hope Will Win An Oscar In The Next Ten Years


David Lynch died without ever having won a competitive Oscar.  He was nominated three times, once for a movie that was also nominated for Best Picture.  He was given an honorary award before he died.  But he never won the Oscar for Best Director.

When it comes to the Oscars, we always talk about artists who are “overdue” and we often suggest that they’ll win with their next major release.  But life and art are both unpredictable.  Indeed, even when a past due director does win an Oscar, it’s often for a lesser film.  George Cukor directed many charming films but he only won one Oscar and that was for the leaden My Fair Lady.

Here are my picks for six directors who I hope will win an Oscar in the next ten years.  Some are overdue.  Some are just underrated.  All of them are deserving.

Richard Linklater

Richard Linklater had a great 2025.  Blue Moon resulted in an Oscar nomination for Ethan Hawke.  Nouvelle Vague swept the Cesars.  He’s widely viewed as one America’s best and most independently-minded directors.  And yet, he’s only once been nominated for Best Director, for Boyhood.  That Linklater lost that Oscar to Alejandro Gonzales Inarritu is a true injustice.  Linklater is one of those directors who vision may be too idiosyncratic for the Academy but I remain hopeful that he will get his Oscar.  He’s currently directing Merrily We Roll Again, with filming set to wrap up in 2040.  That’s a long wait but I look forward to reviewing it.

Joseph Kosinski

With Top Gun: Maverick and F1Kosinski has emerged as one of the best directors of action around.  Both Top Gun: Maverick and F1 were satisfying films that were not ashamed of being works of adrenaline-pumping excitement.  Both were nominated for Best Picture but Kosinski has yet to receive a Best Director nomination.  I hope that changes soon.

David Fincher

It’s amazing to realize that David Fincher still doesn’t have an Oscar.  He’s one of the most influential directors around.  Much as with David Lynch, a lot of aspiring filmmakers have tried to imitate Fincher but David Fincher really is the only one who can do what he does.  2026 will see the release of The Adventures of Cliff Booth and it will be interesting to see how Fincher continues the story started by Quentin Tarantino in Once Upon A Time In Hollywood.

Quentin Tarantino

To be honest, I suspect that Quentin Tarantino is never going to win a Best Director Oscar.  He’s talented, he’s beloved by a large number of film fans, and he also has a real talent for burning bridges and ticking people off.  If you’re a director who happens to be a friend of Paul Dano’s, you’re probably never going to vote for Tarantino.  That said, I have my doubts as to whether or not Tarantino really cares about the Oscars.  His favorite films are the ones that don’t win Oscars.  I personally would enjoy hearing his acceptance speech.

Andrea Arnold

I have been a fan of Andrea Arnold’s ever since I saw Fish Tank at the Dallas Angelika in 2010.  This British director has only directed five feature films since 2006 but she’s still one of the best filmmakers out there, capturing life on society’s fringes with an empathy that never feels condescending.

Sofia Coppola

Sofia is a perennial on these lists and I’ll keep including her until she finally wins her Oscar. No one captures the beauty of ennui with quite the skill and visual flair of Sofia Coppola.

 

My Oscar Predictions


 

Okay, let’s do this!  Here are my predictions of what will win at the big show tonight!

Best Picture — Sinners

Best Directing — Ryan Coogler, Sinners

Best Actor — Michael B. Jordan, Sinners

Best Actress — Jessie Buckley, Hamnet

Best Supporting Actor — Delroy Lindo, Sinners

Best Supporting Actress — Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners

Best Original Screenplay — Sinners

Best Adapted Screenplay — One Battle After Another

Best Animated Feature — Zootopia 2

Best Casting — Sinners

Best Production Design — Frankenstein

Best Cinematography — Train Dreams

Best Costume Design — Frankenstein

Best Film Editing — Sinners

Best Makeup and Hairstyling — Frankenstein

Best Sound — F1

Best Visual Effects — F1

Best Original Score — Sinners

Best Original Song — Golden from KPop Demon Hunters

Best Documentary Feature — The Perfect Neighbor

Best International Feature — The Secret Agent

Best Animated Short — The Retirement Plan

Best Documentary Short — Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud

Best Live Action Short —  Jane Austen’s Period Drama

Welcome To Oscar Sunday!


Audrey Hepburn and her Oscar, in happier times

Welcome to Oscar Sunday!

Today is practically a holiday for me.  As someone who loves movies and who also loves award shows, the Oscar Ceremony is an important annual event.  I really don’t feel like the previous year is over until the Oscars have been handed out.  For me, I won’t truly be able to move on from 2025 and really plunge into 2026 until the award for Best Picture is handed out.

We’ll be here, the TSL crew, watching the show and rooting for our favorite films!  We’ll be posting all the winners, maybe a few reviews, and I’ll be tossing out some Oscar thoughts throughout the day.

Enjoy Oscar Sunday!  May we all be as happy as Audrey Hepburn was when she won her Oscar for Roman Holiday!