Right now, when it comes to predicting the Oscars, there are two big questions to consider.
First off, will Burden ever find a distributor? From the reviews in Sundance, it sounds like the type of film that could be embraced by the Academy but, if it can’t get in theaters, it’s not going to get any nominations.
Secondly, will Martin Scorsese’s The Irishman came out in 2019 or 2018? Right now, Netflix says that The Irishman will be released in 2019 but we all remember what happened with The Wolf of Wall Street.
As of now, I’m going to choose to believe that Burden will get a 2018 release date and that The Irishman will come out in 2019.
I’m also going to chose to believe that Black Panther will be the first “comic book” movie to be nominated for best picture.
At Eternity’s Gate
If Beale Street Could Talk
Mary, Queen of Scots
A Star is Born
Where’d You Go, Bernadette?
Damien Chazelle for First Man
Ryan Coogler for Black Panther
Andrew Heckler for Burden
Barry Jenkins for If Beale Street Could Talk
Josie Rourke for Mary, Queen of Scots
Christian Bale in Backseat
Willem DaFoe in At Eternity’s Gate
Lucas Hedges in Boy Erased
Ryan Gosling in First Man
Garrett Hedlund in Burden
Cate Blanchett in Where’d You Go, Bernadette?
Melissa McCarthy in Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Chloe Grace Moretz in The Miseducation of Cameron Post
Saoirse Ronan in Mary, Queen of Scots
Kristen Stewart in JT LeRoy
Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges in Bad Times at the El Royale
Colman Domingo in If Beale Street Could Talk
Robert Duvall in Widows
Michael B. Jordan in Black Panther
Forest Whiteaker in Burden
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams in Backseat
Claire Foy in First Man
Nicole Kidman in Boy Erased
Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk
Margot Robie in Mary, Queen of Scots