Emily Blunt is having quite a year. Along with co-starring in Oppenheimer, she is also starring opposite Chris Evans in Netflix’s upcoming film, Pain Hustlers!
Here’s the just-released teaser trailer:
Well, it’s that time of the month again! Here are my Oscar predictions for August!
This month, the biggest development in the Oscar race was Dune Part Two being moved to a 2024 release. With no end in sight for the SAG/AFTRA strike, it wouldn’t surprise me if more big productions — like The Color Purple — ended up following Dune to 2024. (One film that will not be moving back is Killers of the Flower Moon, as everyone knows that Martin Scorsese is the true star of that film.) With so many films potentially moving back, this Oscar race could end up paralleling the 2020 race, in which a lot of movie that might otherwise not be nominated moved into the slots that would have otherwise been reserved for the big studio productions. (Regardless of their individual strengths, both Nomadland and CODA owed a bit of their victory to the way COVID disrupted their Oscar races.)
Below are my predictions for August. Be sure to also check out my predictions for March and April and May and June and July!!
Best Picture
The Color Purple
Ferrari
The Holdovers
The Killer
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
The Zone of Interest
Best Director
Greta Gerwig for Barbie
Jonathan Glazer for The Zone of Interest
Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer
Alexander Payne for The Holdovers
Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Actor
Bradley Cooper in Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio in Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo in Rustin
Paul Giamatti in The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy in Oppenheimer
Best Actress
Helen Mirren in Golda
Carey Mulligan in Maestro
Natalie Portman in May December
Margot Robbie in Barbie
Kate Winslet in Lee
Best Supporting Actor
Matt Damon in Oppenheimer
Robert De Niro in Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey, Jr. in Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling in Barbie
Jesse Plemons in Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Supporting Actress
Emily Blunt in Oppenheimer
Lily Gladstone in Killers of the Flower Moon
Taraji P. Henson in The Color Purple
Julianne Moore in May December
Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers
Well, it’s that time of the month again! Here are my Oscar predictions for July!
Probably the biggest development in the race is that both Barbie and Oppenheimer opened with a bang and established themselves as bona fide contenders, along with Scorsese’s Killers of the Flower Moon. I think people were expecting that as far as Oppenheimer was concerned whereas the critical acclaim (and criticism) received by Barbie was a bit more of a surprise. At this point, the debate over whether or not Barbie has a message can only work to the film’s advantage. Working against it is the same thing that kept the Lego movies from showing up in the Best Animated Feature category. For all the discussion about what Barbie means, there’s still the risk of certain members of the Academy viewing it as being an extended commercial. Still, for now, I think both films have to be considered strong contenders.
(What about Sound of Freedom? some may be asking. Regardless of the film’s box office success and what other qualities the film may or may nor have, there’s no way the Academy is going to consider a film about and starring an outspoken Trump supporter.)
If there’s anything that could truly upend the Oscar race, it’s how the studios are going to deal with the SAG/AFTRA strike. For instance, there’s been speculation that some contenders — like The Color Purple — will be pushed back until the strike is settled so that their casts will be able to do publicity for them. It’s totally possible that some of the big contenders that we’re expecting to see in November and December could instead be pushed back to 2024. We’ll see what happens.
Below are my predictions for July. Be sure to also check out my predictions for March and April and May and June!!
Best Picture
The Color Purple
Dune: Part Two
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
The Zone of Interest
Best Director
Greta Gerwig for Barbie
Jonathan Glazer for The Zone of Interest
Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer
Alexander Payne for The Holdovers
Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Actor
Bradley Cooper in Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio in Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo in Rustin
Paul Giamatti in The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy in Oppenheimer
Best Actress
Greta Lee in Past Lives
Helen Mirren in Golda
Natalie Portman in May December
Margot Robbie in Barbie
Emma Stone in Poor Things
Best Supporting Actor
Willem DaFoe in Poor Things
Matt Damon in Oppenheimer
Robert De Niro in Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey, Jr. in Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling in Barbie
Best Supporting Actress
Emily Blunt in Oppenheimer
Lily Gladstone in Killers of the Flower Moon
Taraji P. Henson in The Color Purple
Julianne Moore in May December
Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers
It’s time for my Oscar predictions for June!
With the year almost halfway over, the Oscar race still feels pretty fluid, though I think things will come a bit more into focus next month with the release of Oppenheimer and Barbie. Obviously, Oppenheimer feels more like an Oscar picture than Barbie but you never know what could happen. The Academy appears to really like Greta Gerwig. Of course, both of those film have received so much hype that the true test could be just living up to expectations. Killers of the Flower Moon manage to pass that test at Cannes and, as a result, it’s the current Oscar front runner.
Below are my predictions for June. Be sure to also check out my predictions for March and April and May!
Best Picture
Barbie
The Color Purple
Dune: Part Two
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest
Best Director
Blitz Bazawule for The Color Purple
Jonathan Glazer for The Zone of Interest
Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer
Alexander Payne for The Holdovers
Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Actor
Bradley Cooper in Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio in Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo in Rustin
Paul Giamatti in The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy in Oppenheimer
Best Actress
Emily Blunt in Pain Hustlers
Greta Lee in Past Lives
Natalie Portman in May December
Margot Robbie in Barbie
Emma Stone in Poor Things
Best Supporting Actor
Willem DaFoe in Poor Things
Matt Damon in Oppenheimer
Robert De Niro in Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr. in Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling in Barbie
Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis in Air
Lily Gladstone in Killers of the Flower Moon
Taraji P. Henson in The Color Purple
Julianne Moore in May/December
Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers
Here are my Oscar predictions for May!
Well, for once, Cannes has helped the Oscar picture to come into focus. The triumphant premiere of Killers of the Flower Moon not only cemented the film’s status as an early front runner but it also confirmed that Leonardo DiCaprio will be in the running for Best Actor and Lily Gladstone for either Best Actress or Supporting Actress. It also sound like Robert De Niro could receive another nomination. (Despite the importance of his role, Jesse Plemons’s screen time is apparently limited.)
The other Oscar contender to come out of Cannes would appear to be Jonathan Glazer’s The Zone of Interest. There is some talk that the film itself could be a bit too chilly for the Academy and, being familiar with Glazer’s work, that would not necessarily surprise me. But, for now, The Zone of Interest is among my predicated Best Picture nominee. I’m also going to continue to predict that Oppenheimer will be nominated and, after seeing the trailer, I’m a bit more confident that The Color Purple will be nominated as well. And I’m still going to toss in Barbie because why not?
That said, the year isn’t even halfway over yet and there’s a lot of films to come. It’s entirely possible that the majority of the best picture nominees are going to be films that haven’t even shown up on anyone’s radar yet.
Below are my predictions for May. Be sure to also check out my predictions for March and April!
Best Picture
Barbie
The Color Purple
Dune: Part Two
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest
Best Director
Blitz Bazawule for The Color Purple
Jonathan Glazer for The Zone of Interest
Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer
Alexander Payne for The Holdovers
Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Actor
Bradley Cooper in Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio in Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo in Rustin
Paul Giamatti in The Holdovers
Andre Holland in The Actor
Best Actress
Emily Blunt in Pain Brokers
Greta Lee in Past Lives
Natalie Portman in May December
Margot Robbie in Barbie
Emma Stone in Poor Things
Best Supporting Actor
Willem DaFoe in Poor Things
Matt Damon in Oppenheimer
Robert De Niro in Killers of the Flower Moon
Ryan Gosling in Barbie
Samuel L. Jackson in The Piano Lesson
Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis in Air
Jodie Foster in Nyad
Lily Gladstone in Killers of the Flower Moon
Taraji P. Henson in The Color Purple
Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers
Here are my Oscar predictions for April! As always, when it’s this early in the year, I recommend taking all of these with a grain of salt. At this point, the only thing that anyone knows for sure is that it’s safe to remove Jonathan Majors and Magazine Dreams from any list of predictions.
Check out my predictions for March by clicking here!
Best Picture
The Actor
Barbie
The Color Purple
Dumb Money
Dune: Part Two
Flint Strong
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Rustin
Best Director
Blitz Bazawule for The Color Purple
Rachel Morrison for Flint Strong
Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer
Alexander Payne for The Holdovers
Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Actor
Bradley Cooper in Maestro
Colman Domingo in Rustin
Paul Giamatti in The Holdovers
Andre Holland in The Actor
Anthony Hopkins in Freud’s Last Session
Best Actress
Fantasia Barrino in The Color Purple
Emily Blunt in Pain Brokers
Greta Lee in Past Lives
Margot Robbie in Barbie
Emma Stone in Poor Things
Best Supporting Actor
Willem DaFoe in Poor Things
Matt Damon in Oppenheimer
Brian Tyree Henry in Flint Strong
Samuel L. Jackson in The Piano Lesson
Jesse Plemons in Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis in Air
Jodie Foster in Nyad
Lily Gladstone in Killers of the Flower Moon
Taraji P. Henson in The Color Purple
Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers
Now that the 2022 Oscars are over with, it’s time to move on to the 2023 Oscars!
Needless to say, there’s probably nothing more pointless than trying to guess which films are going to be nominated a year from now. I can’t even guarantee that all of the films listed below are even going to be released this year. And, even if they are released this year, I can’t guarantee that they’ll actually be any good or that the Academy will show any interest in them. I mean, Martin Scorsese always seems like a safe bet but we all remember what happened with Silence. For months, everyone said Silence would be the Oscar front runner. Then it was released to respectful but not ecstatic reviews. Audiences stayed away. The film ended up with one technical nomination.
My point is that no one knows anything. As much as I hate quoting William Goldman (because, seriously, quoting Goldman on a film site is such a cliché at this point), Goldman was right.
So, you may be asking, how did I come up with the nominees below? For the most part, I guessed. A few of them I went with because of the people who made the film. Though shooting has wrapped, Ferrari might not even be released this year but it’s a Michael Mann film that stars Adam Driver so, for now, I have to include it. Of course, I had to include Scorsese and Killers of the Flower Moon. Asteroid City is there because the Academy embraced Wes Anderson once and it could always happen again. Fair Play and Magazine Dreams‘s Jonathan Majors are listed because the Sundance Film Festival is still a recent memory. Maestro is there because the Academy seems like to Bradley Cooper. Dune Part Two and Oppenheimer are there because Film Twitter is convinced that they will be.
In other words, there’s no real science to these predictions. It’s too early in the year to do anything but guess. And for now, these are my guesses. A year from now, they’ll be good for either bragging rights or a laugh. Hopefully, they’ll be good for both.
Best Picture
Asteroid City
The Color Purple
Dune Part Two
Fair Play
Ferrari
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Rustin
Best Director
Chloe Domont for Fair Play
Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer
Alexander Payne for The Holdovers
Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon
Denis Villeneuve for Dune Part Two
Best Actor
Bradley Cooper in Maestro
Colman Domingo in Rustin
Paul Giamatti in The Holdovers
Jonathan Majors in Magazine Dreams
Cillian Murphy in Oppenheimer
Best Actress
Emily Blunt in Pain Hustlers
Carey Mulligan in Maestro
Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers
Julia Roberts in Leave the World Behind
Teyana Taylor in A Thousand and One
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali in Leave The World Behind
Willem DaFoe in Poor Things
Matt Damon in Oppenheimer
Ethan Hawke in Strange Way Of Life
Jesse Plemons in Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Supporting Actress
Emily Blunt in Oppenheimer
Tantoo Cardinal in Killers of the Flower Moon
Taraji P. Henson in The Color Purple
Florence Pugh in Oppenheimer
Tilda Swinton in Asteroid City
Continuing the theme from my previous post, here are 6 actresses who I sincerely hope will have won their first competitive Oscar by the time that the 2033 ceremony rolls around.
With her recent performances in Emily the Criminal, Black Bear, and Ingrid Goes West, Plaza has established herself as one of the most interesting actresses working today. She’s willing to take risks that other performers are not and, in a perfect world, she would have been rewarded with several nominations to her name.
2. Anna Kendrick
I guarantee that Anna Kendrick would give one of the best acceptance speeches ever. Add to that, we already know that Anna Kendrick deserved to win for Pitch Perfect so, at this point, the Academy owes her an Oscar. Get with it, Academy!
3. Thomasin McKenzie
Thomasin McKeznie deserved to be nominated for her poignant performance in Leave No Trace and she seems destined to win an Oscar someday, perhaps for one of her two upcoming films, Eileen and Perfect. Because of her role in Leave No Trace, a lot of critics have compared McKenzie to Jennifer Lawrence. Personally, I think she has more in common with Saoirse Ronan. Like Ronan, McKenzie is one of those performers who seems to disappear into each role she plays and who brings a lot of conviction to each part, even when she’s appearing in something as silly as M. Night Shyamalan’s Old. When you can give an award-worthy performance in something like Old, that means they’re going to have to give you an Oscar at some point.
4. Kirsten Dunst
Kirsten received her first Oscar nomination for Power of the Dog and, if the film had been a bit stronger, I imagine she probably would have won. Hopefully, both she and Jesse Plemons will get a second chance to take home an Oscar. It’s hard to think of another actress who plays depression with as much honesty as Kirsten Dunst.
5. Emily Blunt
Every year, I put Emily Blunt on this list. I’m kind of amazed that she has yet to even be nominated, not even for Looper or A Quiet Place. (Okay, neither one of those films were traditional Oscar films but she was brilliant in both of them.) She seems destined to be recognized eventually. It’s just a question of when.
6. Lindsay Lohan
I hear you laughing but listen, everyone loves a good comeback story. That’s especially true when it come to bloggers who spend all of their time trying to figure out a way to make the Oscars seem more exciting than they are. Obviously, Lindsay’s not going to win an Oscar for appearing in a Netflix Christmas film but who knows? Maybe someone will take a chance on her like the Safdies did when they cast Robert Pattison in Good Time and Adam Sandler in Uncut Gems. Add to that, with Rachel McAdams and Amanda Seyfried having been recently nominated, it’s time for the Academy to show some love to the rest of the cast of Mean Girls.
Listen, I have no idea what films are going to be nominated for this year’s Oscars or next year’s Oscars. I really don’t. I can guess but I certainly am not a 100% certain about anything.
However, I do know that it seems like Christopher Nolan’s Oppenheimer is being set up as next year’s big Oscar bait film. Along with featuring an incredible cast and dealing with an important subject, it’s also directed by a filmmaker who many (especially on Twitter) consider to be overdue for some Oscar love, Christopher Nolan.
Admittedly, of course, it takes more than Twitter excitement to turn a film into a hit and Oppenheimer could be a hard sell when it comes to filmgoers who are less into history and auteurs than the members of Film Twitter are. (Let’s not forget what happened with Damien Chazelle’s First Man a few years ago. Or, for that matter, Nolan’s Interstellar.) Personally, though, I’m rooting for the film. I like Christopher Nolan. I like Cillian Murphy. I like Emily Blunt. I want them all to succeed.
(Of course, I imagine a lot of the coverage will center on Robert Downey, Jr. and Florence Pugh and the phenomenon of two MCU starts appearing in a non-MCU film. Such is the way of most mainstream film coverage nowadays….)
The first poster for Oppenheimer was released today and it leaves little doubt that it’s a film about a man who was at the center of the development of one of the greatest and deadliest weapons ever created. A shadowy J. Robert Oppenheimer stands in the flames of his own creation.
Oppenheimer will arrived in one year, on July 21st, 2023.
If you had told me, ten years ago, that John Krasinski was destined to go from starring in The Office to being an action star, I would have thought you were crazy.
“John Krasinsi’s going to grow a beard and base his acting career around playing soldiers and CIA analysts? No way! He will always be Jim Halpert,” I would have said, “He smirks at the camera and has an adorable relationship with Pam!”
Of course, I was wrong. After The Office ended, John Krasinki went on to play Jack Ryan for Prime and to star in movies like 13 Hours. And yet, as unexpected as that development may have been, what was even more unexpected was that Krasinski would also direct one of the best horror films of the past five years, 2018’s A Quiet Place. Telling the story of a family trying to survive in a post-apocalyptic world in which the Earth has been invaded by aliens who hunt by sound, A Quiet Place was intense, atmospheric, frightening, and actually rather touching. Though the plot itself may have been a bit familiar (because, seriously, how many movies have there been recently about insect-like aliens destroying civilization?) but Krasinski showed true skill as a director, getting heart-breaking performances out of a cast that included himself and his wife, Emily Blunt.
A Quiet Place was such a success that it was was inevitable that it would be followed by a sequel. Though its original release was delayed by the pandemic, A Quiet Place Part II was finally released in May of this year and it became one of the first successful films of 2021. John Krasinki even taped a special greeting for those who saw the film when it was first released, welcoming them back to the theaters. That really is the most John Krasinski thing imaginable.
As for A Quiet Place Part II, it’s actually two films in one. The first part of the film serves as a prequel, showing us the initial attack and following Lee (John Krasinski) and his family as they flee for safety while the aliens decimate their hometown. It’s an exciting sequence, even if one gets the feeling that it was largely included so that Krasinski could make an appearance despite his character having been killed off during the first film. After the flashback, A Quiet Place Part II picks up where the first film ended. Lee is dead and his widow, Evelyn (Emily Blunt), does everything she can to protect her surviving children, Regan (Millicent Simmonds), Marcus (Noah Jupe), and her newborn baby. Though Regan has figured out that the aliens are themselves vulnerable to sound (specifically, a high-pitched tone), that doesn’t make the aliens themselves any less dangerous. After eventually meeting up with Emmett (Cillian Murphy), an embittered friend from the old days, Evelyn and her family search for other survivors.
A Quiet Place Part II is a simple but efficient thriller, one that recaptures all of the first film’s strengths without making the mistake of adding any new weaknesses. Much like the first film, it’s dominated by suspenseful scenes of survivors trying to make their way through the wilderness without so much as stepping on a twig. As anyone who has ever tried to sneak into their house after being out later than they were supposed to can tell you, walking without making a sound is not as easy as it seems. One of the film’s most harrowing scenes features a character getting his foot caught in a bear trap and his family struggling to free him while also trying to keep him from screaming out in pain.
Wisely, the film resists the temptation to tell us too much about the aliens. All we really know about them is that they hunt by sound and they kill anything they pounce on. And really, that’s all we need to know. At a time when far too many film franchises end up drowning in their own overly complicated mythology, the Quiet Place films keep it simple. The aliens hunt and they kill and they’re frightening specifically because there is no way to understand their motivations. They’re pure chaos, a reminder that our lives are not ruled by rhyme and reason. The aliens, like all existential threats, don’t care that the Earth is inhabited by families or people who have tried to create a safe life for themselves. They exist only to destroy.
It can be argued that A Quiet Place Part II tells essentially the same story as A Quiet Place, with Cillian Murphy’s Emmett replacing Lee. That’s a legitimate point but then again, it could also be argued that a part of the film’s strength is that it doesn’t attempt to complicate things. The aliens are going to remain just as frightening the second time Evelyn and her family flees from them as the first time. Clocking in at a brisk 97 minutes, there’s not a wasted moment or a trace of filler to be found in A Quiet Place Part II. Featuring an excellent turn from the awesome Emily Blunt and good performances from Simmonds and Murphy, A Quiet Place Part II is a sequel that’s worthy of the film that came before it.