It’s time for me to update my early Oscar predictions! Every month, based on a combination of buzz, reviews, gut feelings, and random guesses, I attempt to predict which films, directors, and performers will receive nominations in 2015! Originally, I referred to these as being my “way too early Oscar predictions.” However, we are now halfway through the year and the picture is no longer quite as hazy as before. Therefore, these are now simply my “early” predictions.
And below you’ll find my predictions for July.
As you may notice, my predictions have remained pretty stable over the past month. The advance word on Big Eyes has been mixed but, unlike a lot of Oscar watchers, I was never expecting Big Eyes to be a major contender for any award other than best actress. Meanwhile, Boyhood continues to be one of the most acclaimed films of the year, which makes me even more certain that Boyhood will be a contender in several categories. Advanced word on Foxcatcher has also been so strong that I can now imagine both Mark Ruffalo and Channing Tatum scoring nominations for best supporting actor.
The big question right now is whether or not the acclaim that’s been given to summer films like Edge of Tomorrow and Dawn of the Planet of the Apes will also translate into major Oscar nominations or will those films simply have to be satisfied with getting all of the usual technical nominations. Personally, I would love to see Andy Serkis get some love from the Academy but, sadly, I doubt it’s going to happen.
The Imitation Game
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for Birdman
Mike Leigh for Mr. Turner
Richard Linklater for Boyhood
Bennett Miller for Foxcatcher
Jean-Marc Vallee for Wild
Steve Carell in Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch in The Imitation Game
Ralph Fiennes in The Grand Budapest Hotel
Michael Keaton in Birdman
Timothy Spall in Mr. Turner
Amy Adams in Big Eyes
Jessica Chastain in The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
Rosamund Pike in Gone Girl
Reese Whitherspoon in Wild
Shailene Woodley in The Fault In Our Stars
Best Supporting Actor
Ethan Hawke in Boyhood
Mark Ruffalo in Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons in Whiplash
Channing Tatum in Foxcatcher
Tom Wilkinson in Selma
Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette in Boyhood
Julianne Moore in Map To The Stars
Kristen Scott Thomas in Suite francaise
Kristen Stewart in The Clouds of Sils Maria
Emma Stone in Birdman