Lisa’s Way Too Early Oscar Predictions For April


michael-keaton-birdman

As I explained in March, I’m going to be doing a monthly series of posts in which I’m going to attempt to predict which 2014 films will be Oscar-nominated.

Obviously, at this point of the year, the nominations listed below are less like predictions and more like random guesses.  However, if nothing else, these early predictions will be good for a laugh or two once the actual Oscar race becomes a bit more clear.

Below, you’ll find my predictions for April.  Check out my predictions for March here.

Best Picture

Birdman

Boyhood

Foxcatcher

Get On Up

The Imitation Game

Interstellar

Unbroken

Whiplash

Wild

Best Director

Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for Birdman

Angelina Jolie for Unbroken

Richard Linklater for Boyhood

Morten Tyldum for The Imitation Game

Jean-Marc Vallee for Wild

Best Actor

Chadwick Boseman in Get On Up

Steve Carell in Foxcatcher

Benedict Cumberbatch in The Imitation Game

Ralph Fiennes in The Grand Budapest Hotel

Michael Keaton in Birdman

Best Actress

Amy Adams in Big Eyes

Jessica Chastain in A Most Violent Year

Rosamund Pike in Gone Girl

Emma Stone in Magic in the Moonlight

Reese Whitherspoon in Wild

Best Supporting Actor

Robert Duvall in The Judge

Mark Ruffalo in Foxcatcher

J.K. Simmons in Whiplash

Channing Tatum in Foxcatcher

Christopher Walken in Jersey Boys

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis in Get On Up

Marcia Gay Harden in Magic In The Moonlight

Kiera Knightley in The Imitation Game

Amy Ryan in Birdman

Meryl Streep in Into The Woods

Meryl-Streep-Into-The-Woods

The March Edition Of Lisa’s Way Too Early Oscar Predictions


foxcatcher-trailer-hd

Is it ever too early to start trying to predict what films will be nominated for Oscars next year?

In a word … yes.

After all, it’s only March.  Grand Budapest Hotel has just now been released in New York and Los Angeles.  Whiplash and Boyhood were acclaimed at Sundance.  But otherwise, this is the time of year when the studios release films like The Legend of Hercules and Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit. 

Yes, it’s way too early and, quite frankly, a bit silly to try to predict anything right now.

But, a lot of us are still going to try.

Below you can find my way too early predictions for the 2015 Oscar nominations.  Needless to say, these are blind guesses and should not be taken too seriously.

Some may notice that three films that are very popular with other award watchers are not listed on my list of best picture predictions.  I have not listed Grand Budapest Hotel because the Academy, in the past, has not exactly been receptive to the films of Wes Anderson.  As for David Fincher’s Gone Girl, I’m predicting it will have more in common with his rehash of The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo than The Social Network.  Finally, I’m looking forward to seeing Paul Thomas Anderson’s Inherent Vice but I think the material will be too quirky for the Academy.

Best Picture

Birdman

Boyhood

Foxcatcher

Get On Up

The Imitation Game

Interstellar

Unbroken

Whiplash

Wild

Best Director

Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for Birdman

Angelina Jolie for Unbroken

Richard Linklater for Boyhood

Morten Tyldum for The Imitation Game

Jean-Marc Vallee for Wild

Best Actor

Chadwick Boseman in Get On Up

Steve Carell in Foxcatcher

Benedict Cumberbatch in The Imitation Game

Brendan Gleeson in Calvary

Timothy Spall in Mr. Turner

Best Actress

Amy Adams in Big Eyes

Jessica Chastain in A Most Violent Year

Rosamund Pike in Gone Girl

Emma Stone in Magic in the Moonlight

Reese Whitherspoon in Wild

Best Supporting Actor

Robert Duvall in The Judge

Idris Elba in Beasts of No Nation

Mark Ruffalo in Foxcatcher

J.K. Simmons in Whiplash

Christopher Walken in Jersey Boys

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis in Get On Up

Amy Ryan in Birdman

Kristen Scott-Thomas in Suite Francaise

Meryl Streep in Suffragette

Jacki Weaver in Magic in the Moonlight

Those are my predictions for now.  Come April, I’ll sit down and make (and post) another collection of blind guesses.  If nothing else, these way too early predictions will give everyone something to laugh about when, next year, the actual Oscar nominations are announced.

Agree?  Disagree?  Let me know in the comments.

reese-witherspoon-wild-slice

20 Random Thoughts About The Oscars


1901962_10203264475832610_1793065255_n

If only Jared Leto had leaned a little more in.

1) Let’s start with the ceremony itself.  It ran way too long, it was full of slow spots, and it was almost painfully safe.  And yet, it was also fun to watch.  As opposed to Seth McFarlane, Ellen DeGeneres went out of her way to keep things positive and uncontroversial.  There’s a lot of political and social turmoil in the world right now but you wouldn’t know that from listening to any of Ellen’s jokes.

But you know what?  That’s okay.  Last night’s Oscar ceremony was 3 and a half hours of positive energy in an increasingly negative world and how can you complain about that?

2) This may be the first Oscar telecast that I can remember where there really weren’t any bad acceptance speeches.  (I could have done without the woman singing after Twenty Feet From Stardom won for Best Documentary but that’s mostly because I find gospel music to be tedious and everyone knows Stories We Tell should have been nominated and should have won.)  So, who gave the best acceptance speech?  I think it’s a 7-way tie between Jared Leto, Lupita Nyong’o, Matthew McConaughey, the two songwriters who won for Best Original Song, Spike Jonze, and Steve McQueen.

3) How adorable was Jared Leto last night?  Not only did he give a great acceptance speech but he also brought him mom to the ceremony to him!  How sweet!  I think I may have a new celebrity crush to go along with the Franco brothers, Michael Fassbender, Bradley Cooper, Ryan Gosling, and Idris Elba.

4) I enjoyed Pharrell’s performance, largely because it provided proof positive that I’m a better dancer than Meryl Streep.

5) I haven’t seen August: Osage County but, just judging from the clips they showed of Meryl and Julia Roberts in the film, I’m not regretting that decision.  It’s hard to judge a performance on the basis of a few seconds but both Meryl and Julia came across, in what I did see, as being painfully shrill.

6) I’m not a religious person but I did enjoy watching all the hipster douchebags having an online meltdown after McConaughey thanked God.  I haven’t seen them that scandalized since Clint Eastwood endorsed Mitt Romney.

7) A lot of people made some unkind comments about Kim Novak and the way she looked (and acted) during last night’s broadcast.  Well, you know what?  Kim Novak is 81 years old and she was directed by Alfred Hitchcock so, as far as I’m concerned, she can do whatever the Hell she wants.

8) I loved Penelope Cruz’s dress!  Penelope Cruz always reminds me a lot of my mom so I’m always happy to see her.

9) “Jim Carey” was briefly a trending topic on twitter, largely because everyone was misspelling Carrey.  That’s probably a bad sign, for an actor, when people can’t spell your name correctly.

10) For the second time in Academy history, Tyler Perry was a presenter.  That’s probably the closest Perry will ever get to winning an Oscar.

11) As far as my predictions went,  I got 18 out of 24 correct.  My mistake is that I assumed there would be more upsets than there actually were.  As a matter of fact, there really wasn’t a single upset this year.

12) I recently rewatched Blue Jasmine and I have to admit that I was a lot less impressed by Cate Blanchett’s performance the second time.  If anything, Sally Hawkins is really the one who held the film together.

13) A film directed by Woody Allen won an Oscar last night.  Has Ronan Farrow responded yet?

14) As far as the winners go, I can’t complain.  My favorite of the nominees was American Hustle but 12 Years A Slave is a great film as well.  I did get a little bored with Gravity winning every single technical award but then again, Gravity deserved its victories.

15) Of all the nominated performances, I think that Barkhad Abdi’s was the most underrated.  I think a lot of people are assuming that Abdi was simply playing himself.  Hopefully, he’ll get a chance to show more of what he, as an actor, is capable of doing.

16) I loved American Hustle but a lot of my fellow film blogger did not.  What I find interesting is that people go so overboard with the American Hustle hate, as if the film’s existence is a personal insult or something.  Seriously, let’s all grow up, okay?

17)  My BFF Evelyn’s review of the show is that U2’s performance of Ordinary Love put her to sleep and she never really woke back up.

18) As is tradition, I live-tweeted the Oscars and it was a lot of fun, even if my tweets weren’t quite as good this year as last year.  When I was asked who I was wearing for the Oscars, I replied, quite truthfully, “Victoria’s Secret” and gained a dozen new followers.

19) One very odd thing of note: essentially, a few hundred of the most outspokenly liberal people in America were all gathered in an auditorium together and yet, somehow, it was a very apolitical evening.  Jared Leto mentioned the people of Venezuela and Ukraine in his acceptance speech and Steve McQueen spoke out against slavery but otherwise, politics did not come up.

20) Now that this Oscar season is over, is it too early to start speculating about next year’s Oscar winners?  Of course not!  A lot of people seem to be excited about Christopher Nolan’s Interstellar.  Myself, I’m curious to see what David Fincher will do with Gone Girl and whether or not the people at AwardsDaily will declare it to be the greatest film ever made without having seen it (which is typically their response to any movie directed by David Fincher).  And let’s not forget that Wes Anderson’s Grand Budapest Hotel is opening in just a few more days.

Here Are The Winners of The Independent Spirit Awards!


12 Years A Slave was the big winner at yesterday’s Independent Spirit Awards.  We’ll know if the same is true for the Oscars in just two more hours.

BEST PICTURE
X – “12 Years A Slave”
“All is Lost”
“Frances Ha”
“Inside Llewyn Davis”
“Nebraska”

BEST DIRECTOR
Shane Carruth, “Upstream Color”
J.C. Chandor, “All Is Lost”
X – Steve McQueen, “12 Years A Slave”
Jeff Nichols, “Mud”
Alexander Payne, “Nebraska”

BEST ACTOR
Bruce Dern, “Nebraska”
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years A Slave”
Oscar Isaac, “Inside Llewyn Davis”
Michael B Jordan, “Fruitvale Station”
X – Matthew McConaughey, “Dallas Buyers Club”
Robert Redford, “All Is Lost”

BEST ACTRESS
X – Cate Blanchett, “Blue Jasmine”
Julie Delpy, “Before Midnight”
Gaby Hoffmann, “Crystal Fairy”
Brie Larson, “Short Term 12”
Shailene Woodley, “The Spectacular Now”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Michael Fassbender, “12 Years a Slave”
Will Forte, “Nebraska”
James Gandolfini, “Enough Said”
X – Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club”
Keith Stanfield, “Short Term 12”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Melonie Diaz, “Fruitvale Station”
Sally Hawkins, “Blue Jasmine”
X – Lupita Nyongo, “12 Years a Slave”
Yolonda Ross, “Go For Sisters”
June Squibb, “Nebraska”

BEST SCREENPLAY
Woody Allen, “Blue Jasmine”
Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke & Richard Linklater, “Before Midnight”
Nicole Holofcener, “Enough Said”
Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber, “The Spectacular Now”
X – John Ridley, “12 Years A Slave”

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
X – Sean Bobbitt, “12 Years A Slave”
Benoit Debie, “Spring Breakers”
Bruno Delbonnel, “Inside Llewyn Davis”
Frank G. Demarco, “All Is Lost”
Matthias Grunsky, “Computer Chess”

BEST EDITING
Shane Carruth & David Lowery, “Upstream Color”
Jem Cohen & Marc Vives, “Museum Hours”
Frank G. Demarco, “All Is Lost”
Matthias Grunsky, “Computer Chess”
X – Nat Sanders, “Short Term 12”

BEST DOCUMENTARY
X – “20 Feet From Stardom”
“After Tiller”
“Gideon’s Army”
“The Act of Killing”
“Cynn”
“The Square”

BEST INTERNATIONAL PICTURE
“A Touch of Sin (China)
X – “Blue is the Warmest Color” (France)
“Gloria” (Chile)
“The Great Beauty” (Italy)
“The Hunt” (Denmark)

BEST FIRST FEATURE
“Blue Caprice”
“Concussion”
X – “Fruitvale Station”
“Una Noche”
“Wadjda”

BEST FIRST SCREENPLAY
Lake Bell, “In A World”
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Don Jon”
X – Bob Nelson, “Nebraska”
Jill Soloway, “Afternoon Delight”
Mike Starrbury, “The Inevitable Defeat of Mister and Pete”

JOHN CASSAVETES AWARD (best feature made for under $500,000)
“Computer Chess”
“Crystal Fairy”
“Museum Hours”
“Pit Stop”
X – “This is Martin Bonner”

Here Are The Razzie Winners!


The Oscars aren’t the only film awards being given out this weekend.  The Razzie Awards were announced last night.  Movie 43 won Worst Picture.  And while Movie 43 is a truly terrible, terrible film, I still say that Man of Steel was worse.

Anyway, here are the “winners.”

WORST PICTURE
“After Earth”
“Grown Ups 2”
“The Lone Ranger”
“A Madea Christmas”
X — “Movie 43”

WORST ACTOR
Johnny Depp, “The Lone Ranger”
Ashton Kutcher, “Jobs”
Adam Sandler, “Grown Ups 2”
X — Jaden Smith, “After Earth”
Sylvester Stallne, “Bullet to the Head”/”Escape Plan”/”Grudge Match”

WORST ACTRESS
Halle Berry, “The Call”/”Movie 43”
Selena Gomez, “Getaway”
Lindsay Lohan, “The Canyons”
X — Tyler Perry, “A Madea Christmas”
Naomi Watts, “Diana”/”Movie 43”

WORST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Chris Brown, “Battle of the Year”
Larry the Cable Guy, “A Madea Christmas”
Taylor Lautner, “Grown Ups 2”
X — Will Smith, “After Earth”
Nick Swardson, “A Haunted House”/”Grown Ups 2”

WORST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Lady Gaga, “Machete Kills”
Salma Hayek, “Grown Ups 2”
Katherine Heigl, “The Big Wedding”
X — Kim Kardashian, “Tyler Perry’s Temptation”
Lindsay Lohan, “InAPPropriate Comedy”/”Scary Movie 5”

WORST DIRECTOR
X — The 13 People Who Directed “Movie 43”
Dennis Dugan, “Grown Ups 2”
Tyler Perry, “A Madea Christmas”/”Temptation”
M. Night Shyamalan, “After Earth”
Gore Verbinski, “The Lone Ranger”

WORST SCREENPLAY
“After Earth” – Gary Whitta, M. Night Shyamalan, Will Smith
“Grown Ups 2” – Fred Wolfe, Adam Sandler, Tim Herlihy
“The Lone Ranger” – Ted Elliott, Justin Haythe, Terry Rosso
“A Madea Christmas” – Tyler Perry
X — “Movie 43” – Written by 19 “Screenwriters”

WORST SCREEN COMBO
The Entire Cast of “Grown Ups 2”
The Entire Cast of “Movie 43”
Lindsay Lohan & Charlie Sheen, “Scary Movie 5”
Tyler Perry & Either Larry the Cable Guy or That Worn-Out Wig & Dress, “A Madea Christmas”
X — Jaden Smith & Will Smith on Planet Nepotism, “After Earth”

WORST REMAKE, RIP-OFF, OR SEQUEL
“Grown Ups 2”
“The Hangover Part III”
X — “The Lone Ranger”
“Scary Movie 5”
“The Smurfs 2”

Lisa Predicts The 86th Annual Academy Awards


american-hustle-2

Well, it’s finally that time!  The Oscars are tomorrow night and, with so many close races this year, I can’t wait to see who actually wins.  Below, you’ll find my predictions for what will win.

Please note that these are not necessarily the films that I personally would pick to honor.  You can find that list here.  Instead, these are the films and performances that I think will win tomorrow.

A few notes: I’m predicting that Gravity will win the most awards but I still think that 12 Years A Slave will win best picture.  However, I also think that either American Hustle or Dallas Buyers Club could pull an upset win in this category.

For best actor, I am picking Matthew McConaughey but I do think that Bruce Dern could possibly win.  Dern’s been acting forever and the Academy might feel that this could be his last chance to win an Oscar.  Plus, he was really good in Nebraska.

For best actress, I’m predicting that Amy Adams will upset favorite Cate Blanchett.  As we saw with the SAG awards, American Hustle is popular with actors and the Academy might be hesitant about honoring a Woody Allen film this year.

Finally, for Best Makeup, I am predicting that Bad Grandpa will win.  Why?  Every year, there’s at least one totally fucked up win that nobody predicted.  And what win could be more fucked up than Bad Grandpa?  (Also, if Bad Grandpa wins, I’ll be able to say that I was the only person who predicted it.)

Best Picture — 12 Years A Slave

Best Director — Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity

Best Actor — Matthew McConaughey in Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress — Amy Adams in American Hustle

Best Supporting Actor — Jared Leto in Dallas Buyers Club

Best Supporting Actress — Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle

Best Original Screenplay — Her

Best Adapted Screenplay — 12 Years A Slave

Best Animated Film — Frozen

Best Foreign Language Film — The Great Beauty (Italy)

Best Documentary Feature — The Act of Killing

Best Documentary (Short Subject) — The Lady In Number 6: Music Saved My Life

Best Live Action Short Film — The Voorman Problem

Best Animated Short Film — Mr. Hublot

Best Original Score — Gravity

Best Original Song — “Ordinary Love” from Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom

Best Sound Editing — Gravity

Best Sound Mixing — Gravity

Best Production Design — The Great Gatsby

Best Cinematography — Gravity

Best Makeup and Hairstyling — Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa

Best Costume Design — The Great Gatsby

Best Film Editing — 12 Years A Slave

Best Visual Effects — Gravity

Here Are The WGA Winners!


Hey, Oscar watchers!  The WGA Awards were handed out earlier tonight and the Oscar race has gotten even murkier!  The fact that Her won for best original screenplay isn’t all the unexpected, though a lot of observers had predicted American Hustle would win.  However, the victory of Captain Phillips over The Wolf of Wall Street and Before Midnight was definitely an upset.

(Take note that the acclaimed and Oscar-nominated screenplay for 12 Years A Slave was not eligible for a WGA nomination.)

Below are the winners in the film category.  If you want to see the TV winners, click here.

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

“American Hustle,” Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell

“Blue Jasmine,” Woody Allen

“Dallas Buyers Club,” Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack

X – “Her,” Spike Jonze

“Nebraska,” Bob Nelson

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

“August: Osage County,” screenplay by Tracy Letts based on his play
“Before Midnight,” by Richard Linklater & Julie Delpy & Ethan Hawke; based on characters created by Richard Linklater & Kim Krizan
X – “Captain Phillips,” by Billy Ray; based on the book “A Captain’s Duty” by Richard Phillips with Stephan Talty
“Lone Survivor,”  by Peter Berg; based on the book by Marcus Luttrell with Patrick Robinson
“The Wolf of Wall Street,” by Terence Winter; based on the book by Jordan Belfort

DOCUMENTARY SCREENPLAY

“Dirty Wars,” Jeremy Scahill & David Riker
“Herblock – The Black & The White,” Sara Lukinson & Michael Stevens
“No Place on Earth,” Janet Tobias & Paul Laikin
X – “Stories We Tell,” Sarah Polley
“We Steal Secrets: The Story of WikiLeaks,” Alex Gibney

Here are the DGA winners!


The Director’s Guild Awards were given out today and Alfonso Cuaron was named best director for Gravity.  For those of you looking for some guidance while trying to predict the closest Oscar race in history, Gravity has now won honors from the DGA and the PGA, American Hustle took top honors at the SAG Awards, and 12 Years A Slave was honored by the PGA (where it tied for best picture with Gravity).

So does Gravity have the momentum now?  Perhaps.  However, Cuaron’s victory isn’t exactly a surprise.  In fact, since before the Oscar nominations were first announced two weeks ago, a lot of Oscar watchers have been predicting that Gravity would win best director while 12 Years A Slave or American Hustle took best picture.

Or perhaps, even more intriguingly, perhaps American Hustle, Gravity, and 12 Years A Slave could end up splitting the vote and allow one of the other 6 nominees to somehow win a totally unexpected victory.*

Anything’s possible but, for now, here are the DGA winners:

FILM AWARDS

FEATURE FILM 
X — Alfonso Cuarón – “Gravity”
Paul Greengrass – “Captain Phillips”
Steve McQueen – “12 Years a Slave”
David O. Russell – “American Hustle”
Martin Scorsese – “The Wolf of Wall Street”

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Zachary Heinzerling – “Cutie and the Boxer”
X — Jehane Noujaim – “The Square”
Joshua Oppenheimer – “The Act of Killing”
Sarah Polley -–”Stories We Tell”
Lucy Walker – “The Crash Reel”

TELEVISION AWARDS 

DRAMA SERIES
Bryan Cranston – “Breaking Bad” (“Blood Money”)
David Fincher – “House of Cards” (“Chapter 1”)
X — Vince Gilligan – “Breaking Bad” (“Felina”)
Lesli Linka Glatter – “Homeland” (“The Star”)
David Nutter – “Game of Thrones” (“The Rains of Castamere”)

COMEDY SERIES

Mark Cendrowski – “The Big Bang Theory” (“The Hofstadter Insufficiency”)
Bryan Cranston – “Modern Family” (“The Old Man & the Tree”)
Gail Mancuso – “Modern Family” (“My Hero”)
X — Beth McCarthy-Miller – “30 Rock” (“Hogcock!/Last Lunch”)
Anthony Rich – “The Big Bang Theory” (“The Love Spell Potential”)

MOVIE/MINISERIES
Stephen Frears – “Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight”
David Mamet – “Phil Spector”
Beth McCarthy-Miller and Rob Ashford – “The Sound of Music”
Nelson McCormick – “Killing Kennedy”
X — Steven Soderbergh – “Behind the Candelabra”

VARIETY/TALK/NEWS/SPORTS – SERIES
Dave Diomedi – “Late Night with Jimmy Fallon” (#799)
Andy Fisher – “Jimmy Kimmel Live” (#13-1810)
Jim Hoskinson – “The Colbert Report” (#10004)
X — Don Roy King – “Saturday Night Live” (“Host: Justin Timberlake”)
Chuck O’Neil – “The Daily Show with Jon Stewart” (#19018)

VARIETY/TALK/NEWS/SPORTS – SPECIALS
Louis CK – “Louis CK: Oh My God”
Joel Gallen – “2013 Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony”
Louis J. Horvitz – “55th Annual Grammy Awards”
Don Mischer – “85th Annual Academy Awards”
X — Glenn Weiss – “67th Annual Tony Awards”

REALITY
Matthew Bartley – “The Biggest Loser” (“1501”)
X — Neil P. DeGroot – “72 Hours” (“The Lost Coast”)
Paul Starkman – “Top Chef” (“Glacial Gourmand”)
J. Rupert Thompson – “The Hero” (“Teamwork”)
Bertram van Munster – “The Amazing Race” (“Beards in the Wind”)

CHILDREN’S PROGRAMS
Stephen Herek – “Jinxed”
Jeffrey Hornaday – “Teen Beach Movie”
Jonathan Judge – “Swindle”
X — Amy Schatz – “An Apology to Elephants”
Adam Weissman – “A.N.T. Farm” (“influANTces”)

COMMERCIALS
Fredrik Bond
John X. Carey
Noam Murro
X — Martin de Thurah
Matthijs van Heijningen

—–

*However, the best film of the year remains the unnominated Upstream Color.

Here Are The PGA Winners and Guess What? It’s a Tie!


12 Years A Slave

Whenever there’s a tight and potentially unpredictable Oscar race like there is this year, we look to the guild awards for guidance.  Last night, the Producer’s Guild decided not to provide that guidance.  For the first time in the organization’s history, there was a tie for Best Picture as both 12 Years A Slave and Gravity took the top honor.  Even further complicating matters is that the Screen Actors Guild gave their award for best film (or “ensemble”) to this year’s other main contender — American Hustle.  

American Hustle

It seems obvious that one of those three films will be named Best Picture of the year in March but right now, your guess is as good as mine regarding which one will actually take the top prize.

Here are the PGA winners:

FILM AWARDS

BEST PICTURE (TIE)
“American Hustle”
“Blue Jasmine”
“Captain Phillips,”
“Dallas Buyers Club”
X — “Gravity
“Her”
“Nebraska”
“Saving Mr. Banks”
X — “12 Years a Slave
“The Wolf of Wall Street”

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“The Croods”
“Despicable Me 2”
“Epic”
X –“Frozen
“Monsters University”

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
“A Place at the Table”
“Far Out Isn’t Far Enough: The Tomi Ungerer Story”
“Life According to Sam”
X — “We Steal Secrets: The Story of WikiLeaks”
“Which Way Is The Front Line From Here? The Life and Time of Tim Hetherington”

TV AWARDS

BEST DRAMA SERIES
X — “Breaking Bad”
“Downton Abbey”
“Game of Thrones”
“Homeland”
“House of Cards”

BEST COMEDY SERIES
“Arrested Development”
“The Big Bang Theory”
X — “Modern Family”
“30 Rock”
“Veep”

BEST TV MOVIE/MINISERIES
“American Horror Story: Asylum”
X — “Behind the Candelabra
“Killing Kennedy”
“Phil Spector”
“Top of the Lake”

BEST LIVE ENTERTAINMENT/TALK SERIES
X — “The Colbert Report”
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
“Late Night with Jimmy Fallon”
“Real Time with Bill Maher”
“Saturday Night Live”

BEST REALITY COMPETITION SERIES
“The Amazing Race”
“Dancing with the Stars”
“Project Runway”
“Top Chef”
X — “The Voice”

BEST NON-FICTION SERIES
“30 for 30”
X — “Anthony Bourdain: Parts Unknown”
“Duck Dynasty”
“Inside the Actors Studio”
“Shark Tank”

BEST CHILDREN’S SERIES
“Dora the Explorer”
“iCarly”
“Phineas and Ferb”
X — “Sesame Street”
“Spongebob Squarepants”

BEST SPORTS SERIES
“24/7”
“Hard Knocks”
“Monday Night Football”
“Real Sports with Bryant Gumbel”
X — “SportsCenter”

BEST DIGITAL SERIES
“Burning Love” (web series)
“Epic Rap Battles of History”
“The Lizzie Bennet Diaries”
“Video Game High School”
X — “Wired: What’s Inside”

Gravity

12 Random Thoughts on The Oscar Nominations


2013 oscars

The Oscar nominations were announced on Thursday morning (see the full list here) and, ever since, various movie bloggers and reviewers have been speculating about whether or not 12 Years A Slave is still the front-runner and why certain actors and films were nominated while others were ignored.

Now, as a semi-serious film blogger, how can I not look at all of these people engaging in foolish speculation and pompous pontification and ask myself, “Why not me?”  Seriously, if Sasha Stone and Jeff Wells can make a career out of being wrong year-after-year, why not me?

With that in mind, here are 12 random thoughts on the Oscar nominations.

1) There was one film that was popular with audiences but less so with critics that still seemed like it was a sure bet to get at least a few nominations.  And yet somehow, when the nominations were announced, its name was nowhere to be seen.  I’m talking, of course, about Pacific Rim.  How Pacific Rim failed to score nominations for either sound or visual effects is one of the great Oscar mysteries.

2) On a personal level, I was really disappointed that Sarah Polley’s brilliant Stories We Tell was not nominated for Best Documentary Feature.

3) Whatever else may be said about it, Jackass Presents Bad Grandpa will be forever immortalized in the Academy’s history books.  It was nominated for Best Makeup.

4) When it comes to Best Director, I predicted that Martin Scorsese would be snubbed and his spot would be taken by Spike Jonze.  Instead, Paul Greengrass was snubbed and Alexander Payne was nominated for Nebraska.  

If I had to make a prediction today, I would predict that Alfonso Cuaron is going to win the Oscar but Gravity probably won’t win best picture.  (That’s right — it’s Ang Lee and Life of Pi all over again.)

5) Speaking of predictions, I totally nailed Best Supporting Actress, correctly predicting that Sally Hawkins would be nominated and Oprah Winfrey would be snubbed.  So yay me!

6) There’s been a lot of speculation about why the Academy snubbed Oprah but was it really that surprising?  Lee Daniel’s The Butler was an aggressively safe and rather banal film, a fact that became even more obvious when it was compared against 12 Years A Slave.  Looking back over the past year, it’s obvious that most Oscar watchers decided early on that Oprah was an Oscar front-runner solely because she’s Oprah Winfrey.  Her victory was perceived as being predestined and the majority of the online film community were too  busy hopping on the bandwagon to actually realize that nobody was really that enthusiastic about either The Butler or Oprah’s performance.

7) After Meryl Streep gave her speech criticizing Walt Disney at the National Board of Review, a lot of people speculated that she may have either hurt her chances to be nominated for August: Osage County or that she may have hurt the chances of Emma Thompson and Saving Mr. Banks.  Not surprisingly, Awards Daily’s Sasha “I am a Genius” Stone took it upon herself to write a typically condescending post where she defended Meryl Streep, said the speech would not hurt Thompson’s chances, and that everyone but her was an idiot.

Well, I’m not going to speculate on whether Sasha was correct or not.  However, on Thursday morning, Meryl Streep was nominated for August: Osage County (a film that has, to be put it generously, received mixed reviews) while Emma Thompson was not.  Furthermore, Saving Mr. Banks was not nominated for Best Picture and Tom Hanks was not nominated for playing Walt Disney.

Now, to be honest, it’s tempting to say that this was all because of Meryl’s speech but that’s a rather simplistic way to look at it (which, of course, is one reason why a lot of people are saying just that).  The fact of the matter is that Saving Mr. Banks was a film made by Disney to primarily celebrate itself.  Regardless of how well-made the film may have been, it was still hard to escape the idea that it was essentially a commercial.

8 ) Incidentally, there were two films that I really did not want to have to see.  One was Philomena, because the commercials were kinda tedious and it looked like the type of film that all of my girlfriends would be like, “Oh Lisa, you would love this movie so much,” which would almost obligated me to watch it and try to find a reason to dislike it.  (Because nobody tells me what to like…)

The other was August: Osage County, largely because mainstream Hollywood always messes things up whenever they try to make a movie about the middle of the country.  I’ve lived in Oklahoma, I’ve got family in Oklahoma, and I’m bored with films about how much people in California and New York think that the rest of us suck.

However, thanks to the Oscar nominations, I’m now going to have to sit through both of them.  Hopefully, my instincts will be proven wrong and they’ll be turn out to be better than I am expecting.

9) I was really hoping that James Franco would somehow get nominated for Best Supporting Actor but sadly, it did not happen.  However, I was happy that Barkhad Abdi got nominated because he really was the best thing about Captain Phillips.

Consider this: Jonah Hill is now the most honored member of the cast of Superbad.

10) I was really surprised that neither Tom Hanks nor Robert Redford was nominated for Best Actor.  Leonardo DiCaprio deserves the Oscar but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bruce Dern win.  And I bet he’ll gives a great acceptance speech.

11) Going into the nominations, 12 Years A Slave was considered by most to be the front-runner.  After the nominations were announced, 12 Years A Slave suddenly looked a lot weaker.  While it was nominated in all of the major categories, it also failed to pick up nominations for some of the categories — like Cinematography and Sound — that it seemed like a natural for.  At the same time, American Hustle got all of the nominations it was expected to receive and a few unexpected ones as well.  12 Years A Slave is still a strong contender but, looking at the nominations, American Hustle seems to have the momentum.

12) Regardless of what wins in March, the best film of 2013 remains Upstream Color.