It’s the time of the month again! It’s time for me to share my brave attempts to randomly guess at what will be nominated for the Oscars next year! I do this on a monthly basis. For the first six or seven months of the year, it’s a bit of a fool’s errand. Usually, it’s not until late September and October that the Oscar race really starts to become a bit clearer and, even then, there’s always a few surprises and late additions. So, in other words, take the predictions below with a grain of salt. Actually, take them with several grains of salt. A few of these films and performers will definitely be nominated. Several probably won’t but these are the best guesses that I can currently make based on the rumors and speculation that I’ve seen online.
Probably the biggest Oscar news this month was that Top Gun: Maverick is still dominating the box office. That’s good new for Maverick, both because it reminds the Academy of how much people love the film and it will also help to keep the movie fresh on everyone’s mind as the rest of the year unfolds. To those who say that Top Gun: Maverick isn’t a traditional Oscar movie, I would say that 1) they have a point and 2) the same could have been and was said about Mad Max: Fury Road, Get Out, Joker, Black Panther, Dune, and several other recent nominees that both did well at the box office and scored several Oscar nominations. It’s probably time for us to stop thinking about whether or not a movie is a “traditional” nominee because it’s been a while since that’s really been a deciding factor. The times are changing.
Anyway, below you’ll find my nominees for the month of June! If you want to see how my thinking has progressed, be sure to check out my predictions for February, March, April, and May! They’re good for a laugh if nothing else.
Finally, if I had to predict a winner for Best Picture, I would probably go with The Fabelmans. I think Steven Spielberg making a film about his childhood will be hard to resist and I think there are some people who feel that Spielberg didn’t quite get the amount of Oscar love that he deserved for West Side Story.
Best Picture
Babylon
Empire of Light
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Killers of the Flower Moon
My Policeman
Rustin
She Said
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking
Best Director
Damien Chazelle for Babylon
Joseph Kosinski for Top Gun: Maverick
Maria Schafer for She Said
Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon
Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans
Best Actor
Tom Cruise in Top Gun: Maverick
Colman Domingo in Rustin
Brendan Fraser in The Whale
Tom Hanks in A Man Called Otto
Brad Pitt in Babylon
Best Actress
Naomi Ackie in I Wanna Dance with Somebody
Cate Blanchett in Tar
Ana de Armas in Blonde
Margot Robbie in Babylon
Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano in The Fabelmans
Tom Hanks in Elvis
Anthony Hopkins in Armageddon Time
Tobey Maguire in Babylon
Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Supporting Actress
Jessie Buckley in Women Talking
Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All At Once
Sally Field in Spoiler Alert
Li Jun Li in Babylon
Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans
I am sure TOP GUN II will be nominated. The movie is soooo baaaaad, just dreck, but there is a huge pile of money behind it and since artistic integrity means shit in all western countries, money rules, it sure will be nominated in as many categories as possible.
It’s marketing, Baby.
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I am not a very good Oscar predictor – but I have to say I have seen Everything, Everywhere, All at Once – and it exceeds the hype. I can’t say it’s the best movie I’ve ever seen – but I haven’t seen any that I could say was better. On the other hand, it is so unique and odd – I can’t see the Academy recognizing it. It was be interesting to see.
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Bill, try this:
One of the best movies you certainly haven´t seen … be patient for the first half hour. I know it might be difficult in case you want instant reward. You´ll be rewarded and you won´t ever forget.
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