The Oscar nominations are due to be announced tomorrow so I guess I should post my final predictions. 2024 has been a rough year for me and my sisters. Our Dad was in a car accident in May and, after two months of physical rehab, passed away in August while in home hospice care. Needless to say, going to the movies was the last thing on my mind for much of 2024.
(I’m very thankful that my fellow contributors who kept the site going during our frequent absences. Their hard work not only kept TSL alive but it also rekindled my own passion for the Shattered Lens. I am still very much in mourning but writing for this site and sharing my thoughts with our readers has definitely helped me to regain some semblance of stability.)
So, there’s a lot of Oscar hopefuls that I have not seen. That’s one reason why I haven’t done a best of 2024 list this year or my usual “If Lisa Marie Had All The Power” posts because there’s still a lot that I need to watch. (I may publish them at some point in February, by which point everyone will have moved on but it will make me feel happy.) I’m flying blind here with a lot of the potential nominees. But I’ve been following the guilds and the critic awards and I feel reasonably confident about the predictions below.
Tomorrow morning, we’ll find out how right or wrong I am.
Best Picture
Anora
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune Part II
The Brutalist
A Real Pain
September 5
The Substance
Wicked
Best Director
Jacques Audiard for Emilia Perez
Sean Baker for Anora
Edward Berger for Conclave
Brady Corbet for The Brutalist
Coralie Fargeat for The Substance
Best Actress
Pamela Anderson in The Last Showgirl
Cynthia Erivo in Wicked
Karla Sofia Gascon in Emilia Perez
Mikey Madison in Anora
Demi Moore for in Substance
Best Actor
Adrien Brody in The Brutalist
Timothee Chalamet in A Compete Unknown
Domingo Colman in Sing Sing
Daniel Craig in Queer
Ralph Fiennes in Conclave
Best Supporting Actress
Jamie Lee Curtis in The Last Showgirl
Ariana Grande in Wicked
Margaret Qualley in The Substance
Isabella Rossellini in Conclave
Zoe Saldana in Emilia Perez
Best Supporting Actor
Yura Borisov in Anora
Kieran Culkin in A Real Pain
Edward Norton in A Complete Unknown
Guy Pearce in The Brutalist
Jeremy Strong in The Apprentice








